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Week 12 Fantasy Football Guide

Updated: Nov 23

By: Jake Weiner


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We’ve officially entered the final grind — Week 12 has arrived, and fantasy lineups are feeling the weight of every injury, role shift, and surprise breakout. Rosters are tightening, depth is being tested, and managers are hunting for any edge they can find. This week’s slate brings new dynamics: playoff hopefuls fighting to stay in the race, backups stepping into big opportunities, and under-the-radar players turning into legitimate options. Whether you’re pushing for a first-round bye or just trying to keep your postseason hopes alive, Week 12 offers plenty of angles to attack. Let’s get into it.


Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans — Thursday, Week 12 (8:15 PM ET)


Quick Take:


The Bills head into Houston favored by about 6 points against the Texans. Buffalo is looking to keep their momentum going, while Houston must deal with questions at quarterback and a short week. The spread reflects that edge. The Bills should be able to control the game and cover.


Pick: Bills win comfortably and cover the spread at -5.5.


Injury Report:


Houston Texans:

  • QB C.J. Stroud — Game status: Out — Injury: Concussion


Buffalo Bills:

  • TE Dalton Kincaid — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Hamstring



Fantasy Start and Forget It:


Houston Texans:

  • WR Nico Collins — Top 10 WR


Buffalo Bills:

  • QB Josh Allen — Top 6 QB



Fantasy Starts:


Houston Texans:

  • RB Woody Marks — Top 18 RB

    • Buffalo has an awful run defense and Marks' snap share has been increasing every week

  • WR Jayden Higgins — Top 25 WR

    • Higgins is an elite rookie talent who has been getting more targets every week and faces a struggling Bills secondary that just gave up 30+ points to Tampa Bay: expect Higgins to get involved on Thursday Night


Buffalo Bills:

  • RB James Cook — Top 15 RB



Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:


Houston Texans:

  • TE Dalton Schultz — Top 15 TE


Buffalo Bills:

  • WR Khalil Shakir — Top 30 WR



Fantasy Sits / Fades:


Houston Texans:

  • Texans Defense — 77% Started


Buffalo Bills:

  • TE Dawson Knox — 30% Started



Sneaky / Streamer Plays:


Houston Texans:

  • K Kaimi Fairbairn — 85% Rostered


Buffalo Bills:

  • None



Betting Plays:

  • 40+ points

  • Davis Mills UNDER 211.5 Pass Yards

  • Josh Allen 1+ INT

  • James Cook OVER 16.5 Carries

  • Davis Mills OVER 3.5 rushing yards

  • Woody Marks 2+ catches

  • Woody Marks OVER 60.5 rush yard

  • Longshot TD: Jayden Higgins


Detroit Lions @ New York Giants — Sunday, Week 12 (1:00 PM ET)


Quick Take:

The Lions roll into this one as double-digit favorites (-10.5), and for good reason. Detroit’s been solid at home, while the Giants are still reeling from injuries and instability. New York’s QB situation remains murky, and Detroit should be able to dominate this game on both sides of the ball. The spread feels justified — expect the Lions to win big and cover.


Pick: Lions win decisively and cover the -10.5 point spread.


Injury Report:


Detroit Lions:

  • CB Terrion Arnold — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Concussion 

  • S Kerby Joseph — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Knee 

  • T Taylor Decker — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Shoulder 



New York Giants:

  • QB Jaxson Dart — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Concussion 

  • WR Darius Slayton — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Hamstring 

  • OLB Kayvon Thibodeaux — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Shoulder 

  • S Tyler Nubin — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Neck 

  • DL Rakeem Nunez-Roches — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Toe 

  • DE Chauncey Golston — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Undisclosed/Neck 

  • CB Paulson Adebo — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Undisclosed 



Fantasy Start and Forget It:


Detroit Lions:

  • RB Jahmyr Gibbs — Top 10 RB

  • WR Amon-Ra St. Brown — Top 15 WR


New York Giants:

  • None



Fantasy Starts:


Detroit Lions:

  • QB Jared Goff — Top 10 QB

    • Easy matchup

  • WR Jameson Williams — Top 20 WR

    • On a hot streak - getting tons of volume, no LaPorta

  • RB David Montgomery — Top 20 RB


New York Giants:

  • WR Wan’Dale Robinson — Top 25 WR

  • TE Theo Johnson — Top 12 TE



Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:


Detroit Lions:

  • None


New York Giants:

  • RB Tyrone Tracy — Top 25 RB

  • WR Isaiah Hodgins — Top 35 WR



Fantasy Sits / Fades:


Detroit Lions:

  • K Jake Bates — 28% Started


New York Giants:

  • RB Devin Singletery — ~23% Started


Sneaky / Streamer Plays:


Detroit Lions:

  • Lions Defense— ~28% Rostered


New York Giants:

  • WR Isaiah Hodgins — 5% Rostered

  • TE Theo Johnson — 35% Rostered



Betting Plays:

  • Jared Goff 240+ passing yards

  • Jahmyr Gibbs anytime TD

  • Jahmyr Gibbs longest rush OVER 18.5 yards

  • David Montgomery OVER 45 rush yards

  • Theo Johnson 4+ catches

  • Theo Johnson 30+ yards

  • Longshot TD: Jaxson Dart

  • Longshot TD: Brock Wright


Baltimore Ravens @ New York Jets — Sunday, Week 12 (1:00 PM ET)


Quick Take:

The Ravens come in as heavy 13.5-point favorites, and it’s not hard to see why. Baltimore is firing on all cylinders — a four-game winning streak and great offensive balance. The Jets, meanwhile, are in disarray and have turned to Tyrod Taylor under center. Unless something goes very wrong, the Ravens should win with ease.


Pick: Ravens win but Jets 13.5-point spread.


Injury Report:


New York Jets:

  • DE Will McDonald IV — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Quadriceps 

  • DL Harrison Phillips — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Foot 

  • QB Justin Fields — Game status: OUT — Injury: Benched 



Baltimore Ravens:

  • TE Isaiah Likely — Game status: Out — Injury: Calf 

  • S Kyle Hamilton — Game status: Out — Injury: Shoulder / Groin 

  • WR Rashod Bateman — Game status: Out — Injury: Ankle 

  • LB Roquan Smith — Game status: Out — Injury: Hamstring 

  • OL Andrew Vorhees — Game status: Out — Injury: Foot 

  • OT Ronnie Stanley — Game status: Out — Injury: Illness 

  • CB Keyon Martin — Game status: Out — Injury: Rib 



Fantasy Start and Forget It:


Baltimore Ravens:

  • RB Derrick Henry — Top 5 RB

  • QB Lamar Jackson — Top 5 QB


New York Jets:

  • None



Fantasy Starts:


Baltimore Ravens:

  • TE Mark Andrews — Top 15 TE

  • Ravens Defense — Top 5 DST


New York Jets:

  • None



Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:


Baltimore Ravens:

  • None


New York Jets:

  • None



Fantasy Sits / Fades:


Baltimore Ravens:

  • WR Zay Flowers — ~64% Started


New York Jets:

  • RB Breece Hall — ~78% Started



Sneaky / Streamer Plays:


Baltimore Ravens:

  • Defense — ~28% Rostered


New York Jets:

  • None



Betting Plays:

  • Mark Andrews anytime TD

  • Derrick Henry 80+ rushing yards

  • AD Mitchell 20+ yards

  • Tyrod Taylor OVER 180 passing yards

  • Nick Folk 2+ field goals

  • Longshot TD: Tyrod Taylor

  • Longshot TD: Derrick Henry 2+


Pittsburgh Steelers @ Chicago Bears — Sunday, Week 12 (1:00 PM ET)


Quick Take:

The Steelers come in as slight underdogs, +2.5, but there’s real uncertainty at QB with Aaron Rodgers dealing with a fractured left wrist. If he can’t go, Mason Rudolph steps in, changing the dynamic considerably. The Bears are banged up too, but they’re at home — this could be a tight, low-scoring game. The spread feels like a push, but there’s value in backing the Steelers if Rodgers plays as he OWNS the Bears


Pick: Steelers ML IF Rodgers Active & +2.5 OTHERWISE BEARS ML -2.5


Injury Report:


Pittsburgh Steelers:

  • QB Aaron Rodgers — Game status: QUESTIONABLE — Injury: Left wrist fracture 

  • RB Jaylen Warren — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Ankle 

  • EDGE Alex Highsmith — Game status: Did Not Practice — Injury: Pectoral 

  • TE Jonnu Smith — Game status: Did Not Practice — Injury: Rest 


Chicago Bears:

  • LB T.J. Edwards — Game status: Did Not Practice — Injury: Hand / Hamstring 

  • LB Tremaine Edmunds — Game status: Did Not Practice — Injury: Groin 

  • DB Jaquan Brisker — Game status: Did Not Practice — Injury: Shoulder 

  • DB Tyrique Stevenson — Game status: Limited — Injury: Hip / Calf 

  • RB Travis Homer — Game status: Limited — Injury: Hamstring / Knee 

  • RB D’Andre Swift — Game status: Limited — Injury: Hip 

  • OL Drew Dalman — Game status: Limited — Injury: Knee 



Fantasy Start and Forget It:


Steelers:

  • K Chris Boswell — Top 5 K


Bears:

  • WR Rome Odunze — Top 15 WR



Fantasy Starts:


Steelers:

  • Steelers Defense — Top 12 DEF

  • RB Kenneth Gainwell — Top 25 RB (Top 15 IF NO WARREN)

  • RB Jaylen Warren — Top 20 RB


Bears:

  • WR D.J. Moore — Top 25 WR

  • WR Luther Burden — Top 25 WR



Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:


Steelers:

  • None


Bears:

  • WR Colston Loveland — Top 15 TE

  • QB Caleb Williams— Top 15 QB



Fantasy Sits / Fades:


Steelers:

  • WR DK Metcalf — 70% Started


Bears:

  • RB Kyle Monangai — ~28% Started 

  • RB Dandre Swift — ~81% Started



Sneaky / Streamer Plays:


Steelers:

  • K Chris Boswell — ~75% Rostered

  • RB Kenneth Gainwell — ~31% Rostered


Bears:

  • K Cairo Santos — ~35% Rostered



Betting Plays:

  • Cairo Santos 7+ kicking points

  • Bears Steelers 47+ points

  • Aaron Rodgers 2+ pass TDs IF ACTIVE

  • Mason Rudolph 1+ passing TD IF NO RODGERS

  • Kenneth Gainwell 40+ rushing yards

  • DJ Moore 40+ yards

  • Caleb Williams 1+ INT

  • Longshot TD: Kenneth Gainwell


New England Patriots @ Cincinnati Bengals — Sunday, Week 12 (1:00 PM ET)


Quick Take:

The Patriots travel to Cincinnati as heavy favorites (-9), riding a hot streak and a dominant defense. New England’s run defense is elite, and the Bengals continue to struggle, especially with key injuries and turnover at quarterback. The spread seems well-earned — this should be a controlled Patriot win.


Pick: Patriots win comfortably and cover the 9-point spread.


Injury Report:


Cincinnati Bengals:

  • DE Trey Hendrickson — Game status: Did Not Participate — Injury: Hip/Pelvis 

  • G Jalen Rivers — Game status: Did Not Participate — Injury: Knee/Ankle 

  • Samaje Perine (RB) — Game status: Did Not Participate — Injury: Ankle 

  • CB Cam Taylor-Britt — Game status: Did Not Participate — Injury: Foot 

  • TE Mike Gesicki — Game status: Full Participation — Injury: Pectoral (but cleared to practice) 

  • QB Joe Flacco — Game status: Limited — Injury: Right Shoulder 


New England Patriots:

  • DT Christian Barmore — Game status: Limited — Injury: Other / Not Injury Related 

  • LB K’Lavon Chaisson — Game status: Limited — Injury: Ankle 

  • TE Austin Hooper — Game status: Limited — Injury: Concussion 

  • LB Harold Landry — Game status: Limited — Injury: Knee 

  • RB Rhamondre Stevenson — Game status: Limited — Injury: Toe 

  • OT Morgan Moses — Game status: Limited — Injury: Rest / Not Injury Related 



Fantasy Start and Forget It:


New England Patriots:

  • RB Treveyon Henderson — Top 8 RB

  • QB Drake Maye — Top 8 QB


Cincinnati Bengals:

  • WR Chase Brown — Top 12 RB

  • WR Tee Higgins — Top 10 WR



Fantasy Starts:


New England Patriots:

  • WR Stefon Diggs — Top 15 WR

  • Patriots Defense — Top 8 DST

  • TE Hunter Henry — Top 10 TE


Cincinnati Bengals:

  • WR Andre Iosivas — Top 20 WR



Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:


New England Patriots:

  • K andy Borregales — Top 10 K


Cincinnati Bengals:

  • None



Fantasy Sits / Fades:


New England Patriots:

  • WR Kayshon Boutte — ~39% Started


Cincinnati Bengals:

  • None



Sneaky / Streamer Plays:


New England Patriots:

  • TE Hunter Henry — ~56% Rostered

  • Patriots Defense — ~22% Rostered


Cincinnati Bengals:

  • WR Andre Iosivas — ~4% Rostered



Betting Plays:

  • Drake Maye 250+ passing yards

  • Drake Maye 2+ passing TDs

  • Andre Iosivas 4+ catches

  • Andre Iosivas 40+ yards

  • Chase Brown 5+ catches

  • Tee Higgins 6+ catches

  • Longshot TD: Andre Iosivas

  • Longshot TD: Hunter Henry


Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings — Sunday, Week 12 (1:00 PM ET)


Quick Take:

The Packers come in as 6.5-point favorites in this division matchup. Green Bay looks to lean on its balanced attack, though they may be a little banged up (especially at RB). Meanwhile, the Vikings are working through injuries up front, and their offense hasn’t been consistent. On paper, the Packers should control this game and cover, but there’s a slight risk if they can’t run the ball efficiently.


Pick: Packers win AND cover the 6.5-point spread.


Injury Report:


Green Bay Packers:

  • DL Karl Brooks — Game status: Did Not Practice — Injury: Ankle 

  • S Javon Bullard — Game status: Limited — Injury: Ankle 

  • LB Edgerrin Cooper — Game status: Limited — Injury: Foot 

  • WR Romeo Doubs — Game status: Limited — Injury: Wrist 

  • WR Matthew Golden — Game status: Limited — Injury: Shoulder / Wrist 

  • CB Nate Hobbs — Game status: Did Not Practice — Injury: Knee 

  • RB Josh Jacobs — Game status: Did Not Practice — Injury: Knee 

  • QB Jordan Love — Full Participant — Injury: Left Shoulder 


Minnesota Vikings:

  • G Will Fries — Game status: Did Not Practice — Injury: Knee 

  • OLB Jonathan Greenard — Game status: Did Not Practice — Injury: Shoulder 

  • C Ryan Kelly — Game status: Full Participant — Injury: Concussion (in concussion protocol) 



Fantasy Start and Forget It:


Green Bay Packers:

  • RB Josh Jacobs / Emmanuel Wilson — Top 10 RB


Minnesota Vikings:

  • WR Justin Jefferson — Top 10 WR



Fantasy Starts:


Green Bay Packers:

  • WR Christian Watson —Top 20 WR

  • QB Jordan Love — Top 12 QB

  • Packers Defense — Top 10 DST


Minnesota Vikings:

  • WR Jordan Addison — Top 30 WR

  • K Will Reichard — Top 10 K



Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:


Green Bay Packers:

  • None


Minnesota Vikings:

  • Vikings Defense — Top 12 DST

  • RB Aaron Jones — Top 24 RB



Fantasy Sits / Fades:


Green Bay Packers:

  • WR Romeo Doubs — ~41% Started


Minnesota Vikings:

  • RB Jordan Mason — ~30% Started

  • QB JJ McCarthy — ~34% Started

  • TE TJ Hockenson— ~37% Started



Sneaky / Streamer Plays:


Green Bay Packers:

  • Packers Defense — ~81% Rostered

  • WR Christian Watson — ~56% Rostered

  • RB Emmanuel Wilson — ~17% Rostered


Minnesota Vikings:

  • K Will Reichard — ~19% Rostered



Betting Plays:

  • OVER 40.5 points

  • Jalen Nailor longest catch OVER 12.5 yards

  • JJ McCarthy 1+ INT

  • Justin Jefferson 60+ yards

  • Jordan Love 2+ pass TDs

  • Christian Watson 40+ yards

  • Christian Watson Longest reception OVER 18 yards

  • Longshot TD: Emmanuel Wilson


Kansas City Chiefs @ Indianapolis Colts — Sunday, Week 12 (1:00 PM ET)


Quick Take:

The Chiefs come in as 3.5-point favorites in Arrowhead. Despite a turbulent season, KC’s looking for a bounce-back, and the Colts — coming off a bye — may be vulnerable to a well-prepared, balanced Chiefs attack. While Indianapolis has playmakers, Kansas City’s experience at home gives them a real shot to control this game and cover.


Pick: Chiefs win and cover the –3.5 spread.


Injury Report:


Kansas City Chiefs:

  • WR Xavier Worthy — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Ankle. 

  • G Kingsley Suamataia — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Concussion. 

  • RB Isiah Pacheco — Game status: Full Participation (practiced) — Injury: Knee. 


Indianapolis Colts:

  • DE Tyquan Lewis — Game status: Did Not Practice — Injury: Groin. 

  • DE Samson Ebukam — Game status: Limited — Injury: Knee. 

  • CB Kenny Moore II — Game status: Did Not Practice — Injury: Rest. 



Fantasy Start and Forget It:


Kansas City Chiefs:

  • WR Rashee Rice — Top 8 WR


Indianapolis Colts:

  • RB Jonathan Taylor— Top 5 RB



Fantasy Starts:


Kansas City Chiefs:

  • QB Patrick Mahomes — Top 8 QB

  • TE Travis Kelce — Top 6 TE

  • Chiefs Defense — Top 8 DST


Indianapolis Colts:

  • WR Alec Pierce — Top 20 WR

  • WR Michael Pittman Jr— Top 20 WR

  • TE Tyler Warren — Top 15 TE



Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:


Kansas City Chiefs:

  • None


Indianapolis Colts:

  • None



Fantasy Sits / Fades:


Kansas City Chiefs:

  • WR Xavier Worthy — ~42% Started

  • RB Isiah Pacheco — ~35% Started

  • RB Kareem Hunt — ~43% Started


Indianapolis Colts:

  • QB Daniel Jones — ~66% Started

  • Colts Defense — ~68% Started



Sneaky / Streamer Plays:


Kansas City Chiefs:

  • Chiefs Defense — ~44% Rostered


Indianapolis Colts:

  • None



Betting Plays:

  • Chiefs -3.5

  • Pat Mahomes 2+ pass TDs

  • Travis Kelce 5+ catches

  • Alec Pierce longest catch OVER 25.5 yards

  • Travis Kelce OVER 52.5 yards

  • Daniel Jones 1+ INT

  • Pat Mahomes 20+ rush yards

  • Longshot TD: Tyler Warren


Seattle Seahawks @ Tennessee Titans — Sunday, Week 12 (1:00 PM ET)


Quick Take:

The Seahawks roll into Nashville as heavy favorites (‑13.5), and they should be able to lean into what they do best: run the ball, control the clock, and apply pressure on defense. The Titans, plagued by injuries and offensive inconsistency, look like they’re in for a long day.


Pick: Seahawks win BUT Titans cover the 13.5-point spread.


Injury Report:


Seattle Seahawks:

  • G Grey Zabel — Game status: Did Not Practice — Injury: Knee 

  • LB Tyrice Knight — Game status: Did Not Practice — Injury: Concussion 

  • WR Tory Horton — Game status: Did Not Participate — Injury: Shin 

  • S Coby Bryant — Game status: Limited — Injury: Foot 

  • DE Mike Morris — Game status: Limited — Injury: Knee 


Tennessee Titans:

  • WR Eric Ayomanor — Game status: Did Not Participate — Injury: Hamstring 

  • CB Darrell Baker — Game status: Did Not Participate — Injury: Concussion 

  • S Xavier Woods — Game status: Did Not Practice — Injury: Hamstring 

  • DT Jeffery Simmons — Game status: Did Not Participate — Injury: Hamstring 

  • RB Tyjae Spears — Game status: Did Not Participate — Injury: (rest/non-injury‑related) 

  • OG Kevin Zeitler — Game status: Did Not Practice — Injury: Back 

  • TE Chigoziem Okonkwo — Game status: Limited — Injury: Foot 



Fantasy Start and Forget It:


Seattle Seahawks:

  • WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba — Top 5 WR


Tennessee Titans:

  • None



Fantasy Starts:


Seattle Seahawks:

  • K Jason Myers — Top 8 K

  • QB Sam Darnold — Top 10 QB

  • TE AJ Barner — Top 12 TE


Tennessee Titans:

  • None



Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:


Seattle Seahawks:

  • RB Kenneth Walker III — Top 25 RB

  • RB Zach Charbonnet — Top 25 RB


Tennessee Titans:

  • None



Fantasy Sits / Fades:


Seattle Seahawks:

  • WR Cooper Kupp — ~34% Started



Tennessee Titans:

  • RB Tyjae Spears — ~36% Started

  • RB Tony Pollard — ~41% Started



Sneaky / Streamer Plays:


Seattle Seahawks:

  • Seahawks Defense — ~47% Rostered

  • K Jason Myers — ~55% Rostered


Tennessee Titans:

  • None



Betting Plays:

  • OVER 45 points

  • Sam Darnold 2+ pass TDs

  • Kenneth Walker 65+ rush & rec yards

  • Tony Pollard longest catch OVER 7.5 yards

  • Tony Pollard OVER 10.5 rec yards

  • Cam Ward 1+ turnover

  • Jason Myers 7+ kicking points

  • AJ Barner 4+ catches

  • Rashid Shaheed longest catch OVER 18 yards

  • Longshot TD: AJ Barner

  • Longshot TD: Zach Charbonnet

  • Longshot TD: Rashid Shaheed


Jacksonville Jaguars @ Arizona Cardinals — Sunday, Week 12 (4:05 PM ET)


Quick Take:

The Jaguars head to Arizona as narrow 2.5‑point favorites. Jacksonville has the more complete roster and should be able to lean on both their ground game and Trevor Lawrence. The Cardinals, meanwhile, are banged up in the backfield, which could hamper their ability to stay in this one. This feels like a Jaguars control game — expect them to pull away late and cover.


Pick: Jaguars win and cover the –2.5 spread.


Injury Report:


Jacksonville Jaguars:

  • RB Bhayshul Tuten — Game status: Limited — Injury: Ankle 

  • RB Travis Etienne Jr. — Game status: Limited — Injury: Shoulder 

  • DE Travon Walker — Game status: Did Not Practice — Injury: Knee 


Arizona Cardinals:

  • WR Marvin Harrison Jr. — Game status: Out — Injury: Illness / Appendix surgery 

  • RB Emari Demercado — Game status: Out — Injury: High-ankle sprain 

  • OL Jonah Williams — Game status: Did Not Practice — Injury: Shoulder 

  • OL Will Hernandez — Game status: Did Not Practice — Injury: Knee 



Fantasy Start and Forget It:


Jacksonville Jaguars:

  • None


Arizona Cardinals:

  • TE Trey McBride — Top 3 TE


Fantasy Starts:


Jacksonville Jaguars:

  • RB Bhayshul Tuten — Top 20 RB

  • RB Travis Etienne Jr. — Top 15 RB

  • Jaguars Defense — Top 8 DEF


Arizona Cardinals:

  • None



Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:


Jacksonville Jaguars:

  • WR Jakobi Myers — Top 30 WR

  • K Cam Little — Top 10 K

  • TE Brenton Strange — Top 15 TE

  • QB Trevor Lawrence — Top 12 QB


Arizona Cardinals:

  • None


Fantasy Sits / Fades:


Jacksonville Jaguars:

  • WR Parker Washington — 44% Started


Arizona Cardinals:

  • QB Jacoby Brissett — 30% Started

  • RB Trey Benson / Emari Demercado / Bam Knight — 60% Started



Sneaky / Streamer Plays:


Jacksonville Jaguars:

  • Jaguars Defense — 39% Rostered

  • K Cam Little — 22% Rostered


Arizona Cardinals:

  • WR Michael Wilson — 39% Rostered

  • WR Greg Dortch — 1% Rostered


Betting Plays:

  • Bhayshul Tuten 40+ rush yards

  • Bhayshul Tuten 11+ carries

  • Trey McBride 6+ catches

  • Jacoby Brissett 35+ attempts

  • Jacoby Brissett 1+ INT

  • Jacoby Brissett 2+ pass TDs

  • Michael Wilson 5+ catches

  • Greg Dortch 2+ catches

  • Jags -3

  • Longshot TD: Bhayshul Tuten


Las Vegas Raiders @ Cleveland Browns — Sunday, Week 12 (4:05 PM ET)


Quick Take:

The Raiders are 4.0-point favorites in this one. Las Vegas has shown flashes, but the Browns are dealing with major roster turnover and key injuries. Cleveland looks to be starting a very inexperienced QB this week in Shedeur Sanders, which could tilt things toward the Raiders. But we do not think so.


Pick: Browns win and cover the +4.0 spread.


Injury Report:


Las Vegas Raiders:

  • Jonah Laulu (DT) — Injury: Ribs — Practice status: Limited. Game status: (per team report)


Cleveland Browns:

  • QB Dillon Gabriel — Injury: Concussion — Did Not Practice. 

  • OT Jack Conklin — Injury: Knee — Limited Participation. 

  • OT Cam Robinson — Injury: Knee — Limited Participation. 

  • TE David Njoku — Injury: Knee — Did Not Participate. 



Fantasy Start and Forget It:


Las Vegas Raiders:

  • TE Brock Bowers — Top 5 TE


Cleveland Browns:

  • Browns Defense — Top 6 DEF



Fantasy Starts:


Las Vegas Raiders:

  • K Daniel Carlson — Top 8 K


Cleveland Browns:

  • RB Quinshon Judkins — Top 15 RB

  • WR Jerry Jeudy — Top 25 WR



Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:


Las Vegas Raiders:

  • WR Tre Tucker — Top 35 WR


Cleveland Browns:

  • David Njoku / Harold Fannin Jr — Top 16 TE



Fantasy Sits / Fades:


Las Vegas Raiders:

  • RB Ashton Jeanty — 97% Started


Cleveland Browns:

  • None



Sneaky / Streamer Plays:


Las Vegas Raiders:

  • K Daniel Carlson — 10% Rostered


Cleveland Browns:

  • Browns Defense — 10% Rostered



Betting Plays:

  • Shedeur Sanders 160+ pass yards

  • Geno Smith 1+ INT

  • Harold Fannin longest catch OVER 15.5 yards

  • Shedeur Sanders 1+ INT

  • Shedeur Sanders 1+ pass TD

  • Ashton Jeanty UNDER 65 rush yards

  • Brock Bowers 5+ catches

  • UNDER 42 points

  • Daniel Carlson 2+ field goals

  • Longshot TD: Jerry Jeudy


Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys — Sunday, Week 12 (4:25 PM ET)


Quick Take:

The Eagles come into AT&T Stadium as 3.5-point favorites. Philadelphia boasts a potent passing attack led by AJ Brown and DeVonta Smith, while Dallas has struggled defensively against strong aerial offenses. The spread is tight, but Philly’s firepower and matchup advantages make them the safer bet to win and cover.


Pick: Eagles win and cover the –3.5 spread.


Injury Report:


Philadelphia Eagles:

  • WR AJ Brown — Game status: Full — Injury: (None reported) (eagles.com)

  • WR Devonte Smith — Game status: Full — Injury: (None reported) (eagles.com)

  • TE Dallas Goedert — Game status: Limited — Injury: Shoulder (eagles.com)


Dallas Cowboys:

  • RB Javonte Williams — Game status: Limited — Injury: Ankle (cowboys.com)

  • WR CeeDee Lamb — Game status: Full — Injury: (None reported) (cowboys.com)

  • OT Tyrell Crosby — Game status: Did Not Practice — Injury: Knee (cowboys.com)



Fantasy Start and Forget It:


Philadelphia Eagles:

  • RB Saquon Barkley — Top 5 RB

  • QB Jalen Hurts — Top 7 QB


Dallas Cowboys:

  • WR Ceedee Lamb — Top 8 RB

  • WR George Pickens — Top 15 WR

  • K Brandon Aubrey — Top 5 K



Fantasy Starts:


Philadelphia Eagles:

  • WR AJ Brown — Top 15 WR

  • WR Devonte Smith — Top 15 WR

  • TE Dallas Goedert — Top 15 TE


Dallas Cowboys:

  • RB Javonte Williams — Top 15 RB

  • QB Dak Prescott— Top 10 QB



Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:


Philadelphia Eagles:

  • None


Dallas Cowboys:

  • TE Jake Ferguson — Top 8 TE



Fantasy Sits / Fades:


Philadelphia Eagles:

  • Eagles Defense — 35% Started

  • K Jake Elliott — 36% Started



Dallas Cowboys:

  • None



Sneaky / Streamer Plays:


Philadelphia Eagles:

  • None


Dallas Cowboys:

  • None



Betting Plays:

  • Eagles -3

  • OVER 40.5 points

  • DeVonta Smith 4+ catches

  • Jalen Hurts anytime TD

  • Saquon Barkley 70+ rush yards

  • George Pickens OVER 66.5 yards

  • George Pickens 4+ catches

  • Brandon Aubrey 7+ kicking points

  • Longshot TD: Dallas Goedert

Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints — Sunday, Week 12 (4:25 PM ET)


Quick Take:

The Falcons head into the Superdome as 1.5-point underdogs. Atlanta has been competitive despite offensive struggles, and the Saints are dealing with some inconsistencies in their attack. This game has the makings of a tight, low-to-moderate scoring affair, but the Falcons’ versatility and defensive capabilities make them a threat to cover.


Pick: Falcons keep it close and cover the +1.5 spread.


Injury Report:


Atlanta Falcons:

  • WR Drake London — Game status: OUT — Injury: Ankle (falcons.com)

  • TE Kyle Pitts — Game status: Full — Injury: Shoulder (falcons.com)

  • RB Tyler Allgeier — Game status: Full — Injury: (None reported) (falcons.com)


New Orleans Saints:



Fantasy Start and Forget It:


Atlanta Falcons:

  • RB Bijan Robinson — Top 5 RB


New Orleans Saints:

  • WR Chris Olaev — Top 15 WR



Fantasy Starts:


Atlanta Falcons:

  • WR Darnell Mooney — Top 25 WR WITH MAJOR UPSIDE

  • RB Tyler Allgeier — Top 20 RB

  • TE Kyle Pitts — Top 8 TE

  • Falcons Defense — Top 10 DEF


New Orleans Saints:

  • RB Alvin Kamara — Top 15 RB

  • TE Juwan Johnson — Top 7 TE

  • K Blake Grupe — Top 7 K



Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:


Atlanta Falcons:

  • QB Kirk Cousins — Top 16 QB


New Orleans Saints:

  • None



Fantasy Sits / Fades:


Atlanta Falcons:

  • None


New Orleans Saints:

  • None



Sneaky / Streamer Plays:


Atlanta Falcons:

  • WR Darnell Mooney — 21% Rostered

  • Falcons Defense — 3% Rostered


New Orleans Saints:

  • TE Juwan Johnson — 47% Rostered

  • K Blake Grupe — 6% Rostered



Betting Plays:

  • Darnell Mooney 4+ catches

  • Kirk Cousins 1+ INT

  • Alvin Kamara 3+ catches

  • Krik Cousins 180+ pass yards

  • Bijan Robinson 40+ rec yards

  • Bijan Robinson longest rush/rec 20+ yards

  • KhaDarell Hodge 2+ catches

  • Longshot TD: Juwan Johnson

Los Angeles Rams @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Sunday, Week 12 (8:20 PM ET)


Quick Take:

The Rams come into Tampa Bay as 6.5-point favorites. Los Angeles has been more consistent on both sides of the ball, while the Buccaneers are dealing with key injuries. Expect the Rams to win the game, but never count Baker out.


Pick: Rams win BUT TB covers the –6.5 spread.


Injury Report:


Los Angeles Rams:

  • QB Matthew Stafford — Game status: Full — Injury: (None reported) (therams.com)

  • TE Terrence Ferguson — Game status: Limited — Injury: Knee (therams.com)

  • TE Tyler Higbee — Game status: OUT — Injury: (IR) (therams.com)


Tampa Bay Buccaneers:

  • QB Baker Mayfield — Game status: Limited — Injury: Shoulder (buccaneers.com)

  • RB Bucky Irving — Game status: Full — Injury: (None reported) (buccaneers.com)

  • RB Sean Tucker — Game status: Limited — Injury: Ankle (buccaneers.com)

  • TE Cade Otton — Game status: Limited — Injury: Knee (buccaneers.com)



Fantasy Start and Forget It:


Los Angeles Rams:

  • RB Kyren Williams — Top 15 RB

  • WR Puka Nacua — Top 8 WR

  • WR Davante Adams — Top 15 WR


Tampa Bay Buccaneers:

  • RB Bucky Irving — Top 15 RB (*IF ACTIVE*)

  • WR Emeka Egbuka — Top 15 WR



Fantasy Starts:


Los Angeles Rams:

  • QB Matthew Stafford — Top 15 QB

  • TE Terrence Ferguson — Top 15 TE

  • Rams Defense — Top 15 DEF


Tampa Bay Buccaneers:

  • RB Sean Tucker — Top 15 RB

  • K Chase McLaughlin — Top 15 K



Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:


Los Angeles Rams:

  • RB Blake Corum — Top 35 RB

  • K Joshua Karty— Top 10 K


Tampa Bay Buccaneers:

  • None



Fantasy Sits / Fades:


Los Angeles Rams:

  • None


Tampa Bay Buccaneers:

  • QB Baker Mayfield — 79% Started

  • TE Cade Otton — 36% Started

  • RB Rachaad White — 68% Started



Sneaky / Streamer Plays:


Los Angeles Rams:

  • Rams Defense — 34% Rostered

  • QB Matthew Stafford — 72% Rostered

  • TE Terrence Ferguson — 1% Rostered


Tampa Bay Buccaneers:

  • RB Sean Tucker — 48% Rostered

  • K Chase McLaughlin — 63% Rostered



Betting Plays:

  • Matthew Stafford 240+ pass yards

  • 45+ points

  • Sean Tucker 30+ rush yards

  • Davante Adams anytime TD

  • Matthew Stafford 2+ pass TDs

  • Emeka Egbuka 5+ catches

  • Longshot TD: Sean Tucker

  • Longshot TD: Terrence Ferguson

San Francisco 49ers @ Carolina Panthers — Monday, Week 12 (8:15 PM ET)


Quick Take:

The 49ers enter Charlotte as 6.5-point favorites. San Francisco’s balanced offense and stout defense give them a clear edge over the Panthers, who are struggling to maintain consistency. Expect the 49ers to control the game from start to finish and cover the spread without much trouble.


Pick: 49ers win and cover the –6.5 spread.


Injury Report:


San Francisco 49ers:

  • QB Brock Purdy — Game status: Full — Injury: (None reported) (49ers.com)

  • WR Ricky Pearsall — Game status: Limited — Injury: Hamstring (49ers.com)

  • WR Jauan Jennings — Game status: Full — Injury: (None reported) (49ers.com)

  • K Eddy Pineiro — Game status: Full — Injury: (None reported) (49ers.com)


Carolina Panthers:

  • WR Tet McMillan — Game status: Full — Injury: (None reported) (panthers.com)

  • RB Rico Dowdle — Game status: Limited — Injury: Ankle (panthers.com)

  • RB Chubba Hubbard — Game status: Limited — Injury: Knee (panthers.com)

  • K Ryan Fitzgerald — Game status: Full — Injury: (None reported) (panthers.com)



Fantasy Start and Forget It:


San Francisco 49ers:

  • RB Christian McCaffrey — Top 3 RB

  • TE George Kittle — Top 5 TE


Carolina Panthers:

  • WR Tet McMillan — Top 10 WR



Fantasy Starts:


San Francisco 49ers:

  • QB Brock Purdy — Top 8 QB

  • K Eddy Pineiro — Top 8 K


Carolina Panthers:

  • RB Rico Dowdle — Top 14 RB

  • K Ryan Fitzgerald — Top 8 K



Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:


San Francisco 49ers:

  • WR Ricky Pearsall — Top 30 WR

  • WR Jauan Jennings — Top 30 WR

  • 49ers Defense — Top 12 DEF


Carolina Panthers:

  • QB Bryce Young — Top 15 QB



Fantasy Sits / Fades:


San Francisco 49ers:

  • None


Carolina Panthers:

  • RB Chubba Hubbard — 32% Started



Sneaky / Streamer Plays:


San Francisco 49ers:

  • QB Brock Purdy — 41% Rostered

  • 49ers Defense — 6% Rostered

  • K Eddy Pineiro — 11% Rostered


Carolina Panthers:

  • QB Bryce Young — 22% Rostered

  • K Ryan Fitzgerald — 4% Rostered



Betting Plays:

  • Rico Dowdle UNDER 80 rush yards

  • Brock Purdy 2+ pass TDs

  • Brock Purdy 250+ yards

  • Brock Purdy OVER 32.5 attempts

  • George Kittle 5+ catches

  • CMC anytime TD

  • Longshot TD: Kyle Juszchyk

  • Longshot TD: Christian McCaffrey 2+

STARTS OF THE WEEK:

  1. Bengals WR Andre Iosivas

  2. Cardinals WR Michael Wilson

  3. Patriots TE Hunter Henry

  4. 49ers QB Brock Purdy

  5. Falcons WR Darnell Mooney

  6. Packers RB Emmanuel Wilson

  7. Bears WR DJ Moore

  8. Giants WR Wan’Dale Robinson

  9. Saints RB Alvin Kamara

  10. Steelers WR Kenneth Gainwell


SITS OF THE WEEK:

  1. Raiders RB Ashton Jeanty

  2. Jaguars RB Travis Etienne

  3. Colts QB Daniel Jones

  4. 49ers WR Jauan Jennings

  5. Jets RB Breece Hall

  6. Cardinals RB Bam Knight

  7. Packers WR Romeo Doubs

  8. Chiefs WR Xavier Worthy

  9. Chiefs RB Kareem Hunt

  10. Steelers WR DK Metcalf


Jake's 5 LOCKS Parlay of the Week:

  1. Jonathan Taylor longest rush OVER 17.5 yards -115

  2. Alec Pierce longest catch OVER 25.5 yards -115

  3. Ashton Jeanty UNDER 58.5 rush yards -114

  4. Daniel Jones 1+ INT -128

  5. George Pickens OVER 66.5 yards -113


VALUE: +2103 -- $10 --> $210.35

 
 
 

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