Week 14 Fantasy Football Guide
- The Swish
- 3 days ago
- 23 min read
Updated: 19 hours ago
By: Jake Weiner
Week 14 arrives with playoff races tightening and fantasy lineups becoming less forgiving, turning every matchup into a must-navigate puzzle. With injuries stacking up, depth charts shifting, and several marquee games carrying major postseason implications, this week demands sharper decisions than ever. Below, we break down each matchup using current injury information, your Week 14 start/sit designations, and betting picks to give a clear, grounded look at what to expect heading into a pivotal slate.
Detroit Lions @ Dallas Cowboys — Thursday, Week 14, 8:15 PM ET
Quick Take:
Dallas enters this one as slight favorites, but with injuries mounting for Detroit and uncertainty around their top receivers/OL, this game is far from easy for the Lions. The Cowboys are riding momentum and a relatively healthier roster — expect them to challenge Detroit’s shaky O‑line and force the Lions into mistakes. Cowboys should have the edge to win, but Detroit’s pass‑game upside (especially if their WR group stays healthy) still makes this a toss‑up.
Pick: Cowboys win — likely cover (DAL +3.5).
Injury Report:
Detroit Lions:
WR Amon-Ra St. Brown — ankle — Did not practice (missed 2nd straight). Status uncertain for Thursday.
WR Kalif Raymond — ankle — Did not practice.
T Penei Sewell — shoulder — Did not practice.
T Taylor Decker — shoulder / rest — Limited vs DNP; status doubtful.
TE Brock Wright — neck / trachea — Did not practice; may miss extended time.
CB Terrion Arnold — shoulder — Placed on season‑ending injured reserve.
Dallas Cowboys:
DE Jadeveon Clowney — hamstring — Did not practice Tuesday. Status uncertain.
OT Tyler Guyton — ankle — Did not practice — possible miss.
CB Trevon Diggs — knee / concussion return window opened — expected to play.
Fantasy Start & Forget It:
Lions:
WR Jameson Williams — Top 6 WR
We know Jamo has been risky all year, but in a shootout against Dallas without Amon-Ra or a limited Amon-Ra, Jamo should have some monster plays this week
RB Jahmyr Gibbs — Top 8 RB
Cowboys:
WR Ceedee Lamb — Top 12 WR
WR George Pickens — Top 12 WR
QB Dak Prescott — Top 6 QB
K Brandon Aubrey — Top 6 K
Fantasy Starts:
Lions:
WR Isaac TeSlaa — Top 25 WR WITH MAJOR UPSIDE
Once again, with a limited Amon-Ra or a limited Amon-Ra, expect some big plays out of the rookie TeSlaa
QB Jared Goff — Top 8 QB
Cowboys:
RB Javonte Williams — Top 14 RB
Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:
Lions:
None
Cowboys:
None
Fantasy Sits / Fades:
Lions:
K Jake Bates — 56% Started
Cowboys:
TE Jake Ferguson — 68% Started
Sneaky / Streamer Plays:
Lions:
WR Isaac TeSlaa — 1% Rostered
Cowboys:
None
Betting Plays:
Cowboys +4
50+ points
Ceedee Lamb 5+ catches
George Pickens 5+ catches
Isaac TeSlaa 2+ catches
Jahmyr Gibbs anytime TD
David Montgomery UNDER 55 rush yards
George Pickens 60+ yards
Dak Prescott 235+ pass yards
KaVontae Turpin OVER 14.5 yards
Dak Prescott 2+ pass TDs
Jared Goff OVER 253.5 pass yards
Jameson Williams 60+ yards
Jameson Williams Longest Catch OVER 22 yards
Longshot TD: Isaac TeSlaa
Longshot TD: Jameson Williams 2+
Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons — Sunday, Week 14, 1:00 PM ET
Quick Take:
Seattle rolls into Atlanta as heavy favorites (–7.5) — they’re riding a strong defense and improved offensive rhythm that could make life rough on Atlanta’s shaky front. The Falcons are banged up and inconsistent lately, while the Seahawks bring an aerial attack plus a defensive unit that can force turnovers and control the pace. Unless the Falcons catch fire, Seattle should have enough to win
Pick: Seahawks win and cover (ATL +7.5).
Injury Report:
Seahawks:
QB Sam Darnold — Questionable — (per latest report)
Other: no major injuries officially listed for Week 14 on the Seahawks report sheet.
Falcons:
WR Drake London — Knee — Day‑to‑day; uncertain for Sunday.
G Chris Lindstrom — Foot — Questionable.
Other: no additional major injury designations reported in the latest update sheet for Week 14.
Fantasy Start & Forget It:
Seahawks:
WR Jaxson Smith-Njigba — Top 6 WR
Seahawks Defense — Top 8 DST
K Jason Myers — Top 6 K
Falcons:
WR Drake London — Top 10 WR (if active)
Fantasy Starts:
Seahawks:
QB Sam Darnold — Top 10 QB
Falcons:
None
Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:
Seahawks:
RB Kenneth Walker III — Top 22 RB
Falcons:
None
Fantasy Sits / Fades:
Seahawks:
RB Zach Charbonnet — 41% Started
WR Cooper Kupp — 23% Started
WR Rashid Shaheed — 12% Started
Falcons:
RB Bijan Robinson — 99% Started
A bold take that we may likely be very wrong about. But let's be real. We know Bijan is great, but he is coming off a monster performance and is now going to be heading into a game against the Seahawks, who have a top 3 run defense, AND will likely be up big in this game, meaning Atlanta will have to lean on their pass game, not their run game
RB Tyler Allgeier — 31% Started
WR Darnell Mooney — 56% Started
TE Kyle Pitts — 73% Started
Sneaky / Streamer Plays:
Seahawks:
K Jason Myers — 70% Rostered
Falcons:
None
Betting Plays:
Seahawks -6
UNDER 45 points
Kirk Cousins 1+ INT
Kirk Cousins UNDER 200 pass yards
Sam Darnold UNDER 28.5 pass attempts
Sam Darnold 2+ pass TDs
JSN 88.5+ yards
Bijan UNDER 90 rush yards
Darnell Mooney UNDER 4 catches
Zach Charbonnet OVER 34.5 rush yards
Kenneth Walker III Longest Rush OVER 14. yards
Jason Myers 2+ Field Goals
Longshot TD: Rashid Shaheed
Longshot TD: Zach Charbonnet
Longshot TD: AJ Barner
Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers — Sunday, Week 14, 1:00 PM ET
Quick Take:
The Ravens come into Pittsburgh as ~ 5.5‑point favorites, with a chance to re‑take control of the AFC North. Pittsburgh has struggled to stop the run all season and surrendered 249 rushing yards last week. On the flip side, the Steelers are thin up front and on the back end; losing players like Derrick Harmon (OUT) and James Pierre (concussion protocol) makes the defense vulnerable. Expect Baltimore to lean heavy on the run, control clock, and force Pittsburgh to make mistakes — likely giving the Ravens a win and a cover
Pick: Ravens win and likely cover the spread (BAL -5.5).
Injury Report:
Ravens:
G Kevin Zeitler — Game status: Did Not Practice — Injury: Knee
CB Marcus Peters — NIR / Rest — Did Not Practice
CB Daryl Worley — Game status: Did Not Practice — Injury: Hamstring
LB Del’Shawn Phillips — Game status: Limited Practice — Injury: Quad
LB Patrick Queen — Game status: Limited Practice — Injury: Thigh
Steelers:
DT Derrick Harmon — Game status: Out — Injury: Knee
CB James Pierre — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Concussion
LB Patrick Queen — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Glute (from last game)
QB Aaron Rodgers — Expected to play despite wrist injury — ongoing risk (left wrist fractures).
Fantasy Start & Forget It:
Ravens:
QB Lamar Jackson — Top 8 WR
RB Derrick Henry — Top 7 RB
Steelers:
K Chris Boswell — Top 6 K
Fantasy Starts:
Ravens:
WR Zay Flowers — Top 20 WR
TE Mark Andrews — Top 8 TE
Steelers:
None
Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:
Ravens:
TE Isaiah Likely — Top 20 TE WITH MAJOR UPSIDE
RB Rasheen Ali OR Keaton Mitchell— Top 38 RBs WITH MAJOR UPSIDE
We know it sounds crazy, given they are not even the starters and have not done much this season, but when given volume, they have been very good. The Steelers have the worst run defense in the NFL, and they were just hammered by the Bills. Even backups Ty Johnson and Ray Davis were getting volume, so why can't Ali or Mitchell?
Steelers:
RB Jaylen Warren — Top 22 RB
Fantasy Sits / Fades:
Ravens:
K Tyler Loop — ~51 % Started
Steelers:
RB Kenneth Gainwell — ~ 40% Started
WR DK Metcalf — ~80% Started
We have been Metcalf haters all year long, so why stop now? The Ravens' pass defense has been improving, and DK has been getting less volume every week
Sneaky / Streamer Plays:
Ravens:
RB Rasheen Ali — ~ 1% rostered
RB Keaton Mitchell — ~ 1% rostered
Steelers:
None
Betting Plays:
Ravens -5
Derrick Henry anytime TD
Derrick Henry 80+ rush yards
Zay Flowers 4+ catches
DK Metcalf UNDER 65 yards
Jaylen Warren 2+ catches
Kenneth Gainwell UNDER 45 rush yards
Longshot TD: Keaton Mitchell
Longshot TD: Mark Andrews
Longshot TD: Derrick Henry 2+
Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans — Sunday, Week 14, 1:00 PM ET
Quick Take:
The Browns come into this game as ~ –3.5 favorites at home, looking to get back on track after a tough loss in Week 13. Their offense under rookie Shedeur Sanders offers some upside against a Titans defense that has struggled to generate pressure and has allowed one of the higher sack rates in the league. Meanwhile, Tennessee is reeling — their offense ranks near the bottom of the league in almost every major category, and injuries plus poor offensive line play make it hard to see them staying competitive. Expect Cleveland to try to control tempo with the run game and short-to-mid passing; if they execute, they should get the win and likely cover.
Pick: Browns win and likely cover the spread (CLE -3.5).
Injury Report:
Cleveland Browns:
DT Maliek Collins — Out for season — Injury: Quadriceps — suffered a season‑ending quad injury.
OG Wyatt Teller — Doubtful — Injury: Calf (Week‑to‑week)
OT Jack Conklin — Questionable — Injury: Concussion protocol
RB Dylan Sampson — Questionable — Injury: Calf
Tennessee Titans:
C Lloyd Cushenberry III — Out — Injury: Foot
DT Shy Tuttle — Out — Injury: Concussion
CB Jalyn Armour‑Davis — Out — Injury: Achilles
S Kendell Brooks — Out — Injury: Concussion
WR Elic Ayomanor — Questionable — Injury: Hamstring
Fantasy Start & Forget It:
Browns:
RB Quinshon Judkins — Top 8 RB
Browns Defense — Top 5 Defense
Titans:
None
Fantasy Starts:
Browns:
TE Harold Fannin Jr. — Top 15 TE
Titans:
None
Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:
Browns:
None
Titans:
None
Fantasy Sits / Fades:
Browns:
WR Jerry Jeudy — 28% Started
Titans:
RB Tony Pollard — 38% Started
RB Tyjae Spears — 32% Started
Sneaky / Streamer Plays:
Browns:
TE Harold Fannin Jr — 40% Rostered
Browns Defense — 22% Rostered
Titans:
None
Betting Plays:
Browns -5
Quinshon Judkins 16+ attempts
Quinshon Judkins 70+ rush yards
Myles Garrett 1+ sack
Harold Fannin Jr longest Catch OVER 15.5 yards
Tony Pollard longest catch OVER 7.5 yards
Longshot TD: Harold Fannin Jr
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts — Sunday, Week 14, 1:00 PM ET
Quick Take:
This is a critical AFC South showdown: both teams sit at 8-4, and the winner grabs control of the division. The Colts come in as modest favorites; their pass-rush and defense will look to disrupt Jacksonville’s offense, especially with some Jaguars starters banged up up front. But Jacksonville — with its defensive front and opportunistic offense — could hand Indy one more loss if they get pressure and force turnovers. Expect a physical, gritty game.
Pick: Jags win a close one — but this will likely be a back-and-forth affair (JAX +3.5).
Injury Report:
Jacksonville Jaguars:
DL Travon Walker — Game status: Out — Injury: Knee.
OL Patrick Mekari — Game status: Out — Injury: Concussion.
OL Chuma Edoga — Game status: Out — Injury: Calf.
Indianapolis Colts:
CB Sauce Gardner — Game status: Doubtful / Week-to-week — Injury: Calf strain (did not return last game).
Fantasy Start & Forget It:
Jaguars:
None
Colts:
QB Daniel Jones — Top 6 QB
RB Jonathan Taylor — Top 8 RB
TE Tyler Warren — Top 6 TE
Fantasy Starts:
Jaguars:
TE Brenton Strange — Top 7 TE
A great streaming TE option who will look to enter the weekly must start TE range if he has another productive week
WR Brian Thomas Jr — Top 26 WR
This is going to be the week for BTJ. The Colts secondary has been weak all year and they will be without star CB Sauce Gardner. Expect high volume in a likely shootout for BTJ
WR Jakobi Meyers — Top 18 WR
K Cam Little — Top 8 K
Colts:
WR Alec Pierce — Top 24 WR
Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:
Jaguars:
RB Travis Etienne Jr — Top 24 RB
Colts:
K Michael Badgley — Top 10 K
Fantasy Sits / Fades:
Jaguars:
QB Trevor Lawrence — 29% Started
RB Bhayshul Tuten — 33% Started
Jags Defense — 47% Started
Colts:
WR Michael Pittman Jr — 68% Started
We have been fading Pittman for three weeks in a row and we do not plan on changing that. The Jags have a sneaky decent secondary and star CB Tyson Campbell will look to shadow Pittman all game long
WR Josh Downs — 38% Started
Colts Defense — 73% Started
Sneaky / Streamer Plays:
Jaguars:
TE Brenton Strange — 18% Rostered
Colts:
K Michael Badgley — 21% Rostered
Betting Plays:
Daniel Jones OVER 233.5 pass yards
Trevor Lawrence OVER 0.5 INTs
Travis Etienne Jr OVER 13.5 carries
Jonathan Taylor UNDER 21.5 carries
Travis Etienne Jr OVER 57.5 rush yards
BTJ longest catch OVER 20.5 yards
Bhayshul Tuten UNDER 27.5 rush yards
Brenton Strange 4+ catches
Brenton Strange OVER 39.5 yards
Alec Pierce OVER 52.5 yards
Alec Pierce longest catch OVER 24.5 yards
Longshot TD: Alec Pierce
Longshot TD: Jakobi Meyers
Minnesota Vikings @ Washington Commanders — Sunday, Week 14, 1:00 PM ET
Quick Take:
This has turned into a weird matchup: both teams are struggling, but there’s a ton of uncertainty at quarterback — which means whoever can protect the ball and limit turnovers may eke out a win. The Vikings are expected to have J.J. McCarthy back under center after a concussion. Meanwhile, the Commanders may see the return of Jayden Daniels at QB — though he still hasn’t been cleared for contact, so his status remains uncertain. With both QBs coming off injury, the game could be messy. If Daniels plays and looks close to pre-injury form, Washington’s offense has a shot. But Minnesota has been turnover-prone this season — 26 turnovers were among the most in the league as of late Week 13.
Pick: Lean slight to Vikings at home, but this one feels like a toss-up — expect volatility and weak floor for both offenses (MIN -1.5).
Injury Report:
Vikings:
CB Christian Darrisaw — Status: Questionable — Injury: Knee.
LB Jonathan Greenard — Status: Questionable — Injury: Shoulder.
QB JJ McCarthy — Status: Active — Injury: Concussion.
RB Aaron Jones Sr — Status: Doubtful — Injury: Shoulder.
Commanders:
QB Jayden Daniels — Status: Could play this week (near return from dislocated elbow), but not yet cleared for full contact.
No other new major designations publicly listed ahead of Week 14.
Fantasy Start & Forget It:
Vikings:
WR Justin Jefferson — Top 6 WR
The breakout will happen this week, we can feel it. The Commanders have an awful secondary and although JJ has not been good at QB, expect high volume to Jettas this week in a high-scoring affair
Commanders:
None
Fantasy Starts:
Vikings:
RB Jordan Mason — Top WR
With Aaron Jones going down, this could not be a more perfect matchup for Mason to thrive in. The Commanders have a bottom 2 run defense and Mason will see good volume. Expect a TD
WR Jordan Addison — Top WR
K Will Reichard — Top 10 K
Commanders:
WR Terry McLaurin — Top 26 WR
TE Zach Ertz — Top 12 TE
Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:
Vikings:
None
Commanders:
RB Chris Rodriguez Jr — Top 20 RB
Rodriguez Jr has slowly been emerging as the Commanders starting RB and although this matchup is not perfect, the volume will be there. Rodriguez is a low-end high-floor flex play
Fantasy Sits / Fades:
Vikings:
Vikings Defense — 41% Started
Commanders:
WR Deebo Samuel — 65% Started
RB Jacorey Croskey-Merritt — 31% Started
Sneaky / Streamer Plays:
Vikings:
RB Jordan Mason — 9% Rostered
Commanders:
RB Chris Rodriguez Jr — 4% Rostered
Betting Plays:
44+ points
JJ McCarthy 1+ INT
JJ McCarthy OVER 0.5 pass TDs
TJ Hockenson 25+ yards
Justin Jefferson 60+ yards
Chris Rodriguez Jr OVER 38.5 rush yards
Longshot TD: Jordan Mason
Longshot TD: Chris Rodriguez Jr
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets — Sunday, Week 14, 1:00 PM ET
Quick Take:
The Dolphins head to MetLife Stadium as modest favorites (-3.5), riding a little momentum after their recent stretch of wins. The Jets — desperate at 3-9 — could give it everything, especially at home, and the weather could factor in. Miami’s offense has playmakers, but its WR corps has taken hits; New York’s defense is vulnerable, especially if key starters remain out. This feels like a game Miami should win, but don’t be surprised if the Jets keep it close or even pull off an upset.
Pick: Dolphins win, but Jets have a legitimate chance to make it messy — treat it as a potential low-scoring sloppy game (NYJ +3.5)
Injury Report:
Dolphins:
TE Darren Waller — Questionable — Pectoral.
Jets:
WR Garrett Wilson — Doubtful / PCL (missed practice).
RB Breece Hall — Questionable / Knee (limited practice) but worrisome for volume.
Fantasy Start & Forget It:
Dolphins:
RB Devon Achane — Top 5 RB
Jets:
None
Fantasy Starts:
Dolphins:
WR Jayden Waddle — Top 15 WR
TE Darren Waller — Top 10 TE
Coming off his second week off the IR, Waller is almost at must start TE territory as he is a very reliable target for Tua and gets the second/third most targets on the team and the most red zone targets
Jets:
WR Adonai Mitchell — Top 26 WR
Since being traded to New York, Mitchell has been an instant impact WR for QB Tyrod Taylor and is a great flex play this week
RB Breece Hall — Top 18 RB
Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:
Dolphins:
RB Ollie Gordon — Top 34 RB
In a likely shootout, Gordon may vulture a TD from Achane and is a low-end flex play this week with TD upside
QB Tua Tagovailoa — Top 14 QB
Jets:
None
Fantasy Sits / Fades:
Dolphins:
None
Jets:
WR John Metchie — 19% Started
TE Mason Taylor — 25% Started
Sneaky / Streamer Plays:
Dolphins:
TE Darren Waller — 36% Rostered
RB Ollie Gordon — 1% Rostered
Jets:
WR Adonai Mitchell — 6% Rostered
Betting Plays:
43+ points
Jaylen Waddle longest catch OVER 22.5 yards
Tyrod Taylor 1+ INT
Tua Tagovailoa 1+ INT
Breece Hall 60+ rush yards
Devon Achane OVER 76.5 rush yards
Malik Washington VOER 25.5 yards
Darren Waller OVER 26.5 yards
Jaylen Waddle 60+ yards
Devon Achane longest rush OVER 17.5 yards
Devon Achane anytime TD
Breece Hall anytime TD
Longshot TD: Ollie Gordon
Longshot TD: Adonai Mitchell
Longshot TD: Darren Waller
Longshot TD: Devon Achane 2+
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New Orleans Saints — Sunday, Week 14, 1:00 PM ET
Quick Take:
The Bucs come into this one as favorites, riding momentum from last week’s win after a shaky stretch. Their offense looks to be trending back toward form, and with the Saints still struggling and dealing with injuries and roster turnover, Tampa Bay has a clear edge — especially if their key returning players are active. Expect the Bucs to push tempo and exploit New Orleans’ weakened secondary, with a high likelihood that they control this game.
Pick: Buccaneers win but Saints cover (NO +8).
Injury Report:
Buccaneers:
WR Mike Evans — Returned to practice window; previously on IR with broken collarbone.
WR Jalen McMillan — Also returned to practice window after previous IR stint.
Saints:
RB Alvin Kamara — Questionable.
S / secondary depth concerns: multiple injuries and previous season loss of key players have weakened the Saints defensive backfield — safety Justin Reid is also listed as questionable.
Fantasy Start & Forget It:
Bucs:
RB Bucky Irving — Top 6 RB
Saints:
None
Fantasy Starts:
Bucs:
QB Baker Mayfield — Top 10 QB
WR Emeka Egbuka — Top 18 WR
We think Egbuka will come back to life this week, especially if Mike Evans plays. With better players around him, Egbuka typically plays better as the defense is less focused on him
WR Mike Evans — Top 20 WR (if active)
K Chase McLaughlin — Top 8 K
Buccaneers Defense — Top 8 Defense
Saints:
RB Devin Neal — Top 18 RB
With Kamara going down, the rookie from Kansas got tons of volume and that will only increase
WR Chris Olave — Top 18 WR
TE Juwan Johnson — Top 8 TE
Johnson has been a consistent high-floor play at TE this season and almost guarantees you 8 points
Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:
Bucs:
None
Saints:
None
Fantasy Sits / Fades:
Bucs:
RB Sean Tucker — 22% Started
RB Rachaad White — 36% Started
WR Chris Godwin — 39% Started
TE Cade Otton — 20% Started
Saints:
WR Devaughn Vele — 28% Started
Sneaky / Streamer Plays:
Bucs:
Buccaneers Defense — 18% Rostered
Saints:
RB Devin Neal — 32% Rostered
Betting Plays:
Buccaneers -5
Chase McLaughlin 2+ field goals
Tyler Shough OVER 216.5 pass yards
Baker Mayfield 200+ pass yards
Tyler Shough 1+ INT
Tyler Shough UNDER 33.5 pass attempts
Bucky Irving 60+ rush yards
Rachaad White 2+ catches
Juwan Johnson 40+ yards
Chris Olave 5+ catches
Devaughn Vele UNDER 38.5 yards
Bucky Irving longest rush OVER 14.5 yards
Longshot TD: Devin Neal
Longshot TD: Bucky Irving 2+
Longshot TD: Juwan Johnson
Buffalo Bills @ Cincinnati Bengals — Sunday, Week 14, 1:00 PM ET
Quick Take:
Buffalo comes in as about 5.5-point favorites, but this game has plenty of intrigue. The Bills are digging out of an injury mess, and their pass rush — a key part of their identity — may be compromised. Meanwhile, Cincinnati is trying to ride momentum since getting their quarterback back, and if they catch a break up front, their passing offense could be dangerous. This has shootout potential; take the Bills — but expect a back-and-forth game.
Pick: Bills win — but Bengals have enough upside to keep it close (CIN +5.5).
Injury Report:
Buffalo Bills:
DE Joey Bosa — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Hamstring. He exited Week 13’s game with a hamstring strain and is unlikely to play.
LT Dion Dawkins — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Concussion protocol (remains out).
WR Joshua Palmer — Ankle — expected to be available (limited practice last week).
TE Dalton Kincaid — Hamstring — logged limited practices but remains a game-time decision.
Cincinnati Bengals:
DE Trey Hendrickson — Game status: Doubtful — Injury: Hip/pelvis. He continues to deal with lingering issues and may sit.
WR Tee Higgins — Concussion Protocol — Status uncertain for Sunday after tests and limited activity.
Fantasy Start & Forget It:
Bills:
QB Josh Allen — Top 5 QB
RB James Cook — Top 6 RB
Bengals:
RB Chase Brown — Top 12 RB
WR Ja'Marr Chase — Top 8 WR
Fantasy Starts:
Bills:
WR Khalil Shakir — Top 18 WR
After coming off a terrible week vs Pittsburgh, we think Shakir bounces back against a weak Bengals secondary in a game that should be very high-scoring
TE Dalton Kincaid — Top 8 TE (IF ACTIVE)
Bengals:
QB Joe Burrow — Top 12 QB
Although Burrow is back and better than ever, the Bills' defense has been very good against QBs in fanatsy, we expect at least 17 points from Burrow but temper expectations
WR Tee Higgins — Top 28 WR
Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:
Bills:
RB Ty Johnson — Top 30 RB
Although a backup, Johnson sees a lot of targets in the pass game and the Bengals defense has been terrible, which makes us believe that Johnson could see some good volume this week
WR Keon Coleman — Top 34 WR
Although he was benched and off to a slow start, Bills starting WR Joshua Palmer is hurt and Coleman also is coming off a TD. We think he may see another one this week
Bengals:
RB Samaje Perine — Top 32 RB
Although Perine is a backup, the Bills have a struggling run defense AND Perine will likely see at least 40% of the Bengals RB snaps, making him a low-end flex play with some decent PPR upside
Fantasy Sits / Fades:
Bills:
Bills Defense — 35% Started
Bengals:
WR Andre Iosivas — 38% Started
Sneaky / Streamer Plays:
Bills:
RB Ty Johnson — 1% Rostered
WR Keon Coleman — 12% Rostered
Bengals:
RB Samaje Perine — 1% Rostered
Betting Plays:
47+ points
Khalil Shakir 4+ catches
Josh Allen OVER 234.5 pass yards
Joe Burrow 2+ pass TDs
Josh Allen 1+ INT
Joe Burrow UNDER 0.5 INTs
James Cook UNDER 19.5 carries
Josh Allen OVER 30.5 rush yards
Ja'Marr Chase OVER 85.5 yards
Khalil Shakir 40+ yards
Ja'Marr Chase UNDER 7.5 catches
Chase Brown longest rush OVER 12.5 yards]
Chase Brown longest catch OVER 11.5 yards
Tee Higgins anytime TD
James Cook anytime TD
Josh Allen anytime TD
Longshot TD: Keon Coleman
Denver Broncos @ Las Vegas Raiders — Sunday, Week 14, 4:05 PM ET
Quick Take:
The Broncos arrive as solid favorites (–8.5), riding momentum and a defense that’s among the league’s stingiest overall. Their pass rush and offensive balance should pose major problems for a Raiders squad still battling through offensive line and roster injuries. The Raiders’ offense has looked depleted recently, and unless they find a spark, Denver should control tempo, exploit mismatches, and win.
Pick: Broncos win and Raiders cover the spread (LV +8.5).
Injury Report:
Broncos:
LB Jonah Elliss — Questionable — Illness.
TE Nate Adkins — Questionable — Injury.
DT D.J. Jones — Questionable — Injury.
Raiders:
RB Zamir White — Questionable — Injury/Risk.
G Jordan Meredith — Questionable — Injury.
TE Michael Mayer — Questionable — Injury.
CB Darnay Holmes — Questionable — Injury / Illness
Fantasy Start & Forget It:
Broncos:
Broncos Defense — Top 4 Defense
Raiders:
TE Brock Bowers — Top 6 TE
Fantasy Starts:
Broncos:
QB Bo Nix — Top 8 QB
RB RJ Harvey — Top 16 RB
WR Courtland Sutton — Top 20 WR
K Will Lutz — Top 8 K
Raiders:
None
Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:
Broncos:
WR Troy Franklin — Top 30 WR
Raiders:
K Daniel Carlson — Top 8 K
Fantasy Sits / Fades:
Broncos:
None
Raiders:
RB Ashton Jeanty — 93% Started
WR Tre Tucker — 41% Started
Sneaky / Streamer Plays:
Broncos:
QB Bo Nix — 77% Rostered
WR Troy Franklin — 51% Rostered
K Will Lutz — 12% Rostered
Raiders:
K Daniel Carlson — 5% Rostered
Betting Plays:
UNDER 48 points
Bo Nix OVER 222.5 pass yards
Geno Smith OVER 0.5 pass TDs
Bo Nix 1+ pass TDs
Geno Smith 1+ INT
Bo Nix 1+ INT
Ashton Jeanty UNDER 53.5 rush yards
RJ Harvey UNDER 44.5 rush yards
Ashton Jeanty OVER 23.5 rec yards
Evan Engram 20+ yards
RJ Harvey anytime TD
Longshot TD: RJ Harvey 2+
Longshot TD: Troy Franklin
Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears — Sunday, Week 14, 4:25 PM ET
Quick Take:
The Packers head into Lambeau as ~ 6.5‑point favorites. Green Bay has won the vast majority of recent home games vs. the Bears, and their offensive efficiency under Jordan Love — plus a generally strong run game — gives them the edge this week. Meanwhile, the Bears are tough and motivated (9‑3 record), but their offense under Caleb Williams remains inconsistent.
Pick: Packers win and Bears likely cover the spread (CHI +6.5).
Injury Report:
Packers:
DE Devonte Wyatt — out for season with ankle injury, impacting DL depth.
WR / Depth options — some are listed questionable on latest report (CB/WR depth and LB/CB spots have designations).
Bears:
CBs & LBs (various): Several are listed questionable — CB Tyrique Stevenson, LB Noah Sewell, LB T.J. Edwards, DE/OLB Dominique Robinson among others.
Pass rush / defensive depth could be slightly compromised given uncertainty in multiple spots.
Fantasy Start & Forget It:
Packers:
RB Josh Jacobs — Top 6 RB
Bears:
None
Fantasy Starts:
Packers:
QB Jordan Love — Top 8 QB
WR Christian Watson — Top 20 WR
WR Romeo Doubs — Top 20 WR
Bears:
WR Rome Odunze — Top 25 WR
K Cairo Santos — Top 8 K
Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:
Packers:
None
Bears:
QB Caleb Williams — Top 14 QB
RB Kyle Monangai — Top 28 RB
WR Luther Burden — Top 35 WR
TE Colston Loveland — Top 14 TE
Fantasy Sits / Fades:
Packers:
Packers Defense — 80% Started
Bears:
RB D'Andre Swift — 87% Started
WR DJ Moore — 52% Started
Sneaky / Streamer Plays:
Packers:
WR Christian Watson — 56% Rostered
WR Romeo Doubs — 39% Rostered
Bears:
K Cairo Santos — 19% Rostered
Betting Plays:
45+ points
Caleb Williams OVER 193.5 pass yards
Jordan Love OVER 215.5 pass yards
Caleb Williams OVER 0.5 pass TDs
Jordan Love UNDER 0.5 INTs
Caleb Williams OVER 30.5 pass attempts
Kyle Monangai OVER 45.5 rush yards
Josh Jacobs UNDER 79.5 rush yards
Colston Loveland OVER 30.5 yards
Rome Odunze OVER 34.5 yards
Christian Watson OVER 3.5 catches
Josh Jacobs anytime TD
Longshot TD: Kyle Monangai
Longshot TD: Romeo Doubs
Longshot TD: Christian Watson
Longshot TD: Colston Loveland
Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals — Sunday, Week 14, 1:25 PM PT (4:25 PM ET)
Quick Take:
The Rams come into this one as comfortable favorites (≈ –7.5 to –8.5) in a division tilt. After a tough loss last week, L.A. should be primed to rebound — facing a Cardinals squad with unstable QB depth and a shaky offensive line. Arizona’s interim starter Jacoby Brissett will attempt to keep them competitive, but the mismatch on defense + surge at home for the Rams gives LAR a strong shot to both win and cover.
Pick: Rams win and cover the spread (LAR -7.5).
Injury Report:
Rams:
OT Rob Havenstein — Shoulder — Game status: Out (IR)
WR Tutu Atwell — IR‑R (out)
CB Roger McCreary — IR (out)
S Quentin Lake — IR (out)
TE Tyler Higbee — IR (out)
Cardinals:
RB Trey Benson — Ankle — Questionable.
CB Max Melton — Heel — Questionable.
DT Walter Nolen III — Knee — Questionable.
S Dadrion Taylor‑Demerson — Injury (unspecified) — Questionable.
G Hayden Conner — G — Questionable.
Fantasy Start & Forget It:
Rams:
WR Davante Adams — Top 10 WR
WR Puka Nacua — Top 16 WR
Rams Defense — Top 6 Defense
Cardinals:
TE Trey McBride — Top 3 TE
Fantasy Starts:
Rams:
QB Matthew Stafford — Top 8 QB
RB Kyren Williams — Top 14 RB
Cardinals:
WR Michael Wilson — Top 24 WR
With Marv likely sitting this game out, Wilson becomes a high-floor WR2 play this week with upside
Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:
Rams:
RB Blake Corum — Top 34 RB
Cardinals:
QB Jacoby Brissett— Top 14 QB
Fantasy Sits / Fades:
Rams:
K Joshua Karty — 33% Started
Cardinals:
RB Trey Benson— 63% Started
RB Bam Knight— 45% Started
Sneaky / Streamer Plays:
Rams:
RB Blake Corum — 11% Rostered
Cardinals:
None
Betting Plays:
Jacoby Brissett OVER 250.5 pass yards
Jacoby Brissett OVER 1.5 pass TDs
Matthew Stafford UNDER 0.5 INTs
Jacoby Brissett OVER 37.5 pass attempts
Kyren Williams UNDER 14.5 carries
Kyren Williams OVER 66.5 rush yards
Davante Adams OVER 55.5 yards
Trey McBride 60+ yards
Kyren Williams UNDER 10.5 rec yards
Puka Nacua UNDER 88.5 yards
Puka Nacua UNDER 7.5 catches
Davante Adams UNDER 5.5 catches
Longshot TD: Blake Corum
Longshot TD: Colby Parkinson
Kansas City Chiefs @ Houston Texans — Sunday, Week 14, 8:20 PM ET
Quick Take:
The Chiefs come in as 3.5-point favorites in a bounce-back spot — home at Arrowhead gives them a big advantage. Kansas City’s offense still ranks among the NFL’s most efficient, but this week they could be dealing with significant offensive-line attrition.
The Texans, on the other hand, are surging — 7-5 straight up, riding a four-game win streak, and their defense has been playing with renewed energy. If Houston can generate pressure and exploit a thin Chiefs OL, they have a shot to make this game competitive. That said — Chiefs still hold the edge on offense and home-field.
Pick: Chiefs win, but expect a closer game than the line suggests. Lean Chiefs — spread cover possible, but not guaranteed. (HOU +3.5)
Injury Report:
Chiefs:
LT Josh Simmons — OUT (wrist)
RT Jawaan Taylor — Questionable (elbow)
RG Trey Smith — Questionable (ankle)
TE Noah Grey — Questionable (concussion)
S Bryan Cook — Questionable (ankle)
Texans:
S Jaylen Reed — Doubtful (arm)
LB Jamal Hill — Questionable (hamstring)
CB Ajani Carter — OUT (hamstring / IR)
Fantasy Start & Forget It:
Chiefs:
WR Rashee Rice — Top 6 WR
Texans:
WR Nico Collins — Top 8 WR
Fantasy Starts:
Chiefs:
None
Texans:
WR Jayden Higgins — Top 25 WR
TE Dalton Schultz — Top 14 TE
K Ka'Imi Fairbairn — Top 8 Kicker
Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:
Chiefs:
QB Patrick Mahomes — Top 12 QB
TE Travis Kelce — Top 14 TE
RB Kareem Hunt — Top 28 RB
Chiefs Defense— Top 14 Defense
Texans:
RB Woody Marks — Top 22 RB
Texans Defense — Top 14 Defense
Fantasy Sits / Fades:
Chiefs:
RB Isaiah Pacheco — 33% Started
WR Xavier Worthy — 37% Started
Texans:
WR Christian Kirk — 30% Started
Sneaky / Streamer Plays:
Chiefs:
None
Texans:
WR Jayden Higgins — 29% Rostered
TE Dalton Schultz — 40% Rostered
K Ka'Imi Fairbairn — 39% Rostered
Betting Plays:
Rashee Rice anytime TD
Chiefs ML
Patrick Mahomes OVER 241.5 pass yards
Patrick Mahomes OVER 1.5 pass TDs
Patrick Mahomes 1+ INT
CJ Stroud 1+ INT
Isaiah Pacheco OVER 7.5 carries
Kareem Hunt OVER 11.5 carries
Kareem Hunt OVER 35.5 rush yards
CJ Stroud OVER 11.5 rush yards
Isaiah Pacheco OVER 25.5 rush yards
Xavier Hutchinson OVER 16.5 yards
Longshot TD: Jayden Higgins
Longshot TD: Dalton Schultz
Philadelphia Eagles @ Los Angeles Chargers — Monday, Week 14, 8:15 PM ET
Quick Take:
This one might be the most intriguing game of Week 14. The Eagles and Chargers both sit at 8–4, but in a twist, the Chargers enter as ~3-point underdogs at home according to the odds.
The wild card: Justin Herbert fractured his non-throwing hand against the Raiders and had surgery — his status for Monday is “questionable.” If Herbert can’t go, backup Trey Lance would likely draw the start — and that could dramatically shift the game script. Chargers might lean heavily on the run, which could open things up if the Eagles defend the pass-rush but struggle with the ground attack.
Given the uncertainty at QB for L.A. and the inconsistent Eagles defense, this could end up being closer than many expect.
Pick: Lean Eagles, but treat this game as volatile — cover or close loss on either side (PHI -3).
Injury Report
Eagles:
OT Lane Johnson — Questionable (offensive line concern)
WR Xavier Gipson — Questionable (receiver depth)
C/OL Willie Lampkin — IR.
OT Myles Hinton — IR-R.
S Andrew Mukuba — IR.
Chargers:
QB Justin Herbert — Questionable — fractured left (non-throwing) hand, surgery done Monday.
RB Omarion Hampton — Expected to return this week after ankle IR stint, could give Denver more run game options.
Multiple offensive-line starters still out for LA, raising concerns about pass protection even if Herbert plays.
Fantasy Outlook & Picks
Fantasy Start & Forget It:
Eagles:
None
Chargers:
WR Ladd McConkey — Top 15 WR
RB Omarion Hampton — Top 12 RB
K Cameron Dicker — Top 8 Kicker
Fantasy Starts:
Eagles:
QB Jalen Hurts — Top 8 QB
WR DeVonte Smith — Top 20 WR
WR AJ Brown — Top 20 WR
Chargers:
WR Quentin Johnston — Top 24 WR
Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:
Eagles:
RB Saquon Barkley — Top 24 RB
TE Dallas Goedert — Top 10 TE
Chargers:
None
Fantasy Sits / Fades:
Eagles:
K Jake Elliott — 31% Started
Chargers:
RB Kimani Vidal — 72% Started
WR Keenan Allen — 41% Started
TE Oronde Gadsden — 80% Started
Sneaky / Streamer Plays:
Eagles:
None
Chargers:
None
Betting Plays:
Eagles ML
Jalen Hurts UNDER 191.5 pass yards
Jalen Hurts UNDER 0.5 INTs
Saquon Barkley UNDER 70 rush yards
Devonte Smith OVER 53.5 yards
Dallas Goedert UNDER 28.5 yards
Ladd McConkey 4+ catches
Oronde Gadsden UNDER 45 yards
Saquon Barkley Longest rush OVER 14.5 yards
Longshot TD: Quentin Johnston
STARTS OF THE WEEK:
Lions WR Jameson Williams
Jaguars TE Brenton Strange
Colts WR Alec Pierce
Jaguars WR Jakobi Meyers
Broncos RB RJ Harvey
Packers WR Christian Watson
Packers QB Jordan Love
Browns RB Quinshon Judkins
Colts QB Daniel Jones
Cardinals WR Michael Wilson
SITS OF THE WEEK:
Falcons RB Bijan Robinson
Chiefs TE Travis Kelce
Jaguars RB Bhayshul Tuten
Buccaneers WR Chris Godwin
Commanders WR Deebo Samuel
Steelers WR DK Metcalf
Chargers TE Oronde Gadsden
Bears WR DJ Moore
Colts WR Michael Pittman Jr
Raiders RB Ashton Jeanty
Jake's 5 LOCKS Parlay of the Week:
Davante Adams anytime TD -155
Tyjae Spears OVER 2.5 receptions -110
Tyjae Spears OVER 15.5 recieving yards -118
Caleb Williams OVER 30.5 pass attempts -104
Trevor Lawrence OVER 0.5 INTs -135
VALUE: +1881 -- $10 --> $188.10
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