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Week 13 Fantasy Football Guide

Updated: 6 days ago

By: Jake Weiner


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Week 13 is here, and the fantasy grind is real. Injuries, shifting roles, and surprise breakout performances are reshaping lineups, and depth is being stretched to the limit. Plus, it’s Thanksgiving week — a perfect recipe for chaotic matchups and unexpected heroes. Playoff races are heating up, backups are getting their shot, and under-the-radar players could make or break your roster. Whether you’re chasing a top seed or just trying to stay alive in the hunt, Week 13 offers plenty of angles to exploit. Let’s dive in.


Lions @ Packers — Thursday, Week 13, 1:00 PM ET


Quick Take:

The Lions roll into Lambeau as slight favorites at –2.5, looking to lean on their passing game in a short week. Green Bay, meanwhile, could lean on Love if things get wild. Expect a fast-paced, shootout-style contest with big-play potential from both sides.


Pick: Lions win and cover the -2.5 spread.


Injury Report:


  • Lions:

    • WR Kalif Raymond — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Ankle 

    • TE Brock Wright — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Neck 

    • S Kerby Joseph — Game status: Out — Injury: Knee 

    • C Graham Glasgow — Game status: Out — Injury: Knee 


  • Packers:

    • QB Jordan Love — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Right elbow 

    • WR Christian Watson — Game status: Out / long-term — Injury: Torn ACL 

    • WR Romeo Doubs — Game status: (no confirmed recent injury report)



Fantasy Start & Forget It:


Lions: 

  • RB Jahmyr Gibbs -- Top 5 RB

  • WR Amon-Ra St. Brown -- Top 5 WR


Packers:

  • RB Josh Jacobs -- Top 8 RB



Fantasy Starts:



Lions: 

  • WR Jameson Williams -- Top 15 WR

    • Usually bounces back after rough games, especially ones in which he has zero catches, and he gets a very bad Packers secondary, which is terrible in man coverage, something Williams thrives against


Packers:

  • WR Christian Watson -- Top 25 WR

    • Has productive games when he gets big plays and is involved in shootouts. The Lions have a bad secondary, and this game could easily turn into a shootout.

  • QB Jordan Love -- Top 10 QB

    • Gets a weak Lions defense in a game that could be a shootout.



Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts:


Lions: 

  • None


Packers:

  • None


Fantasy Sits / Fades:


Lions: 

  • RB David Montgomery — ~56% Started

    • Volume continues to plummet as Gibbs emerges as a league winner. The Packers' run defense is also top 10 in the league, just to make things worse

  • QB Jared Goff — ~60% Started

    • The Packers have a great defense and will put constant pressure on the Lions. We see the Lions getting the bulk of their points from Jahmyr Gibbs, limiting Goff's fantasy output.


Packers:

  • DEF Packers — ~63% Started



Sneaky / Streamer Plays:


Lions: 

  • None


Packers:

  • WR Christian Watson — ~39% Rostered

  • QB Jordan Love — ~57% Rostered



Betting Plays:

  • UNDER 50 points

  • Christian Watson 40+ yards

  • Jahmyr Gibbs 16+ attempts

  • Jared Goff 1+ INT

  • Christian Watson Longest Reception OVER 23 yards

  • Jahmyr Gibbs' longest rush OVER 18 yards

  • Jahmyr Gibbs anytime TD

  • Amon-Ra St. Brown 6+ catches

  • Longshot TD: Christian Watson

Kansas City Chiefs @ Dallas Cowboys — Thursday, Week 13, 4:30 PM ET


Quick Take:

The Chiefs head to Dallas as 3.5‑point favorites. With a potent passing game led by Patrick Mahomes and emerging weapons in the receiver room, Kansas City should be able to push the tempo even on a short week. The Cowboys, coming off an emotional comeback win, must contend without key line pieces and may struggle to contain the Chiefs’ explosive offense. Expect a close shootout


Pick: Cowboys stay hot, win and cover the +3.5 spread.



Injury Report:


  • Kansas City Chiefs:

    • TE Noah Gray — Game status: Out — Injury: Concussion. 

    • G Trey Smith — Game status: Out — Injury: High‑ & low‑ankle sprains. 

    • LB Leo Chenal — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Knee (Limited practice). 

    • WR Rashee Rice — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Hamstring (Limited practice). 

    • WR Xavier Worthy — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Ankle (Limited practice). 


  • Dallas Cowboys:

    • LT Tyler Guyton — Game status: Out — Injury: Ankle. 

    • OG Hakeem Adeniji — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Illness. 



Fantasy Start & Forget It:


Chiefs:

  • QB Patrick Mahomes — Top 5 QB

  • TE Travis Kelce — Top 7 TE

  • WR Rashee Rice — Top 3 WR


Cowboys:

  • WR Ceedee Lamb — Top 10 WR



Fantasy Starts:


Chiefs:

  • WR  Xavier  Worthy — Top 25 WR

    • The Cowboys struggle defending opposing wideouts, especially slot WRs and deep bombs. These are two things Worthy thrives at. Expect a lot of volume.


Cowboys:

  • WR George Pickens — Top 25 WR

    TE  Jake  Ferguson — Top 8 TE

    • Although Ferguson has been having many bad outings as of late, he is still a top Tight End in the NFL, and the Chiefs are a good matchup, especially on Thanksgiving Day in what should be a shootout.

  • K Brandon Aubrey — Top 8 K



Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:


Chiefs:

  • None


Cowboys:

  • QB Dak Prescott — Top 12 QB



Fantasy Sits / Fades:


Cowboys:

  • RB  Javonte  Williams — ~77% Started

    • This is just not the right matchup for Javonte. The Chiefs have been shutting down opposing RBs left and right and are just coming off an unbelievable performance against the NFL's top back, Jonathan Taylor. Unless Williams can find the end zone, do not expect much.


Chiefs:

  • RB Kareem Hunt — 57% Started



Sneaky / Streamer Plays:


Chiefs:

  • None


Cowboys:

  • None



Betting Plays:

  • 45+ points

  • Xavier Worthy longest catch 18+ yards

  • George Pickens longest catch 18+ yards

  • Patrick Mahomes 2+ pass TDs

  • Travis Kelce 5+ catches

  • George Pickens 5+ catches

  • George Pickens 65+ yards

  • Longshot TD: Xavier Worthy

  • Longshot TD: Jake Ferguson

Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals — Thursday, Week 13, 8:20 PM ET


Quick Take:

The Ravens enter this matchup as 7-point favorites with the Bengals flashing signs of life — but not without risk. Cincinnati could get Joe Burrow back, which shifts everything, but Baltimore still has the edge in a short week. Expect the Ravens to lean on their run game and control the tempo, while the Bengals may look to make quick-strike plays if Burrow is under center.


Pick: Bengals win and cover the +7 point spread.



Injury Report:


  • Bengals:

    • QB Joe Burrow — Injury: Toe — Listed as full participant in recent practice. 

    • WR Tee Higgins — Injury: Concussion — Confirmed out for Week 13. 

    • DE Trey Hendrickson — Injury: Hip / Pelvis — Did not participate on Monday’s report. 


  • Ravens:

    • No major injuries listed in the Ravens’ published Week 13 report.




Fantasy Start & Forget It:


  • Ravens:

    • QB Lamar Jackson — Top 5 QB

    • RB Derrick Henry — Top 5 RB

    • TE Mark Andrews — Top 5 TE

      • Usually, Mark is not in this category as he is heavily touchdown dependent AND coming off a bad week. BUT the Bengals are having one of the worst seasons of all time against defending opposing tight ends, and we just saw Hunter Henry go nuclear last week. What tells us Andrews can't?


  • Bengals:

    • QB  Joe Burrow — Top 5 QB

      • Joey B is back and ready to thrive in a perfect matchup on Thanksgiving Day.

    • QB  Ja'Marr Chase — Top 5 WR

    • RB Chae Brown — Top 8 RB



Fantasy Starts:


  • Ravens:

    • WR  Zay Flowers — Top 20 WR

      • Being the only Ravens go-to WR has its perks, and when facing one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL, Flowers should thrive.


  • Bengals:

    • WR Andre Iosivas — Top 30 WR WITH UPSIDE

      • Yes, we know we had Iosivas here last week, and he only had 11 PPR points. But with Tee Higgins being out and having another great match, AND having All-Pro QB Joe Burrow back in the lineup, we think Iosivas can have a very productive week.



Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:


  • Ravens:

    • None


  • Bengals:

    • None



Fantasy Sits / Fades:


  • Ravens:

    • None


  • Bengals:

    • None



Sneaky / Streamer Plays:


  • Ravens:

    • TE Mark Andrews — ~ 57% rostered 


  • Bengals:

    • WR Andre Iosivas — ~7% rostered (ESPN) 



Betting Plays:

  • 45+ points

  • Derrick Henry anytime TD

  • Derrick Henry 16+ attempts

  • Derrick Henry 80+ yards rushing

  • Chase Brown 4+ catches

  • Zay Flowers 5+ catches

  • Andre Iosivas 40+ yards

  • Andre Iosivas 4+ catches

  • Longshot TD: Mark Andrews

  • Longshot TD: Andre Iosivas

  • Longshot TD: Derrick Henry 2+

Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears — Friday, Week 13, 3:00 PM ET


Quick Take:

The Eagles come into Soldier Field as 7-point favorites, looking to exploit Chicago’s thin roster—especially their depleted linebacker corps. Philadelphia has the firepower to move the ball, but the Bears' defense could make life difficult if they get creative. Still, the Eagles should control this short-week spot and cover.


Pick: Eagles win and cover the 7-point spread.



Injury Report:


  • Eagles:

    • S Andrew Mukuba — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Fractured ankle 

    • WR Xavier Gipson — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Shoulder 

    • S Reed Blankenship — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Thigh 

    • CB Adoree’ Jackson — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Head / Concussion 


  • Bears:

    • LB Tremaine Edmunds — Game status: Out — Injury: Groin (IR) 

    • RB Roschon Johnson — Game status: Out — Injury: Thumb (IR) 

    • LB T.J. Edwards — Game status: Out — Injury: Hand / Hamstring 

    • LB Noah Sewell — Game status: Out — Injury: Elbow 





Fantasy Start & Forget It:


  • Eagles:

    • RB Saquon Barkley — Top 5 RB

    • QB Jalen Hurts — Top 5 QB


  • Bears:

    • WR Rome Odunze — Top 8 WR

      • The most perfect bounce back matchup there could be. Odunze is now coming off back-to-back disappointing performances, and we see a massive comeback game this Thanksgiving




Fantasy Starts:


  • Eagles:

    • WR Devonte Smith — Top 20 WR

    • WR AJ Brown — Top 20 WR


  • Bears:

    • None




Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:


  • Eagles:

    • TE Dallas Goedert — Top 12 TE


  • Bears:

    • WR Luther Burden — Top 30 WR



Fantasy Sits / Fades:


  • Eagles:

    • None


  • Bears:

    • WR DJ Moore — ~68% Started

      • Although he has been putting up great fantasy numbers, his volume is very low and TD reliant, and we think this week he slows down when faced up against elite Cornerback Quinyon Mitchell

    • TE Colston Loveland — ~48% Started

    • QB Caleb Williams — 62% Started

    • RB D'Andre Swift — ~87% Started

      • The Eagles' run defense is solid, and Swift has been slowing down as of late




Sneaky / Streamer Plays:


  • Eagles:

    • None


  • Bears:

    • RB Kyle Monangai — ~ 72% rostered

    • WR Luther Burden — ~22 % rostered


Betting Plays:

  • 42+ points

  • Luther Burden 3+ catches

  • Jalen Hurts anytime TD

  • DJ Moore UNER 50 yards

  • Devonta Smith 50+ yards

  • AJ Brown longest catch OVER 20 yards

  • Rome Odunze 50+ yards

  • D'Andre Swift UNDER 65 yards rushing

  • Longshot TD: Dallas Goedert

  • Longshot TD: Luther Burden

  • Longshot TD: Devonte Smith

Los Angeles Rams @ Carolina Panthers — Sunday, Week 13, 1:00 PM ET


Quick Take:

The Rams come into this one as heavy –9.5 favorites, bringing their efficient passing attack and a healthy dose of playmakers against a Panthers squad that’s still trying to find consistency. With Tutu Atwell expected back in the mix, the Rams’ aerial game gets a boost. Carolina will struggle to keep up unless they can lean on chunk plays or force turnovers.


Pick: Rams win BUT the Panthers surprise once again and cover the 10-point spread.



Injury Report:


  • Rams:

    • WR Tutu Atwell — Expected to return this week after being on IR with a hamstring injury. 


  • Panthers:

    • C Cade Mays — Injury: Ankle — Out. 





Fantasy Start & Forget It:


  • Rams:

    • WR Puka Nacua — Top 10 WR

    • WR Davante Adams — Top 12 WR

    • QB Matthew Stafford — Top 7 QB


  • Panthers:

    • None




Fantasy Starts:


  • Rams:

    • RB Kyren Williams — Top 14 RB

    • Rams Defense


  • Panthers:

    • WR Tetairoa McMillan — Top 20 WR

    • RB Rico Dowdle — Top 15 RB





Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:


  • Rams:

    • WR Tutu Atwell — Top 35 WR


  • Panthers:

    • None



Fantasy Sits / Fades:


  • Rams:

    • None


  • Panthers:

    • None





Sneaky / Streamer Plays:


  • Rams:

    • WR Tutu Atwell — ~0% rostered

    • Rams Defense— ~30% rostered


  • Panthers:

    • None




Betting Plays:

  • Rams -7

  • Davante Adams anytime TD

  • Kyren Williams 70+ rush & rec yards

  • Rico Dowdle UNDER 75 yards rushing

  • Bryce Young 1+ INT

  • Matthew Stafford 2+ pass TDs

  • Tutu Atwell longest catch OVER 17 yards

  • Tutu Atwell 15+ yards

  • Longshot TD: Tutu Atwell

  • Longshot TD: Davante Adams 2+

San Francisco 49ers @ Cleveland Browns — Sunday, Week 13, 1:00 PM ET


Quick Take:

The 49ers are 7-point favorites, and they should lean into that edge. With San Francisco’s offense firing efficiently, they’ll look to control the game through balanced play. Cleveland, meanwhile, will run it hard and try to keep things together under rookie QB Shedeur Sanders. But the 49ers’ depth and discipline could make this a clean win.


Pick: 49ers win and cover the 7-point spread.



Injury Report:


  • 49ers:

    • OL Aaron Banks — Questionable — Concussion. 

    • DL Jordan Elliott — Questionable — Concussion. 

    • CB Deommodore Lenoir — Questionable — Knee. 

    • DE Nick Bosa — Questionable — Hip / Oblique. 

    • OT Trent Williams — Questionable — Ankle. 

    • LB Dre Greenlaw — Out — Achilles. 


  • Browns:

    • QB Shedeur Sanders — Game status: Active — Starting for Week 13. 

    • QB Dillon Gabriel — Game status: Active — Benched/Concussed for Week 13. 

    • RB Quinshon Judkins — Game status: Questionable — Knee Injury




Fantasy Start & Forget It:


  • 49ers:

    • RB Christian McCaffrey — Top 5 RB

    • TE George Kittle — Top 6 TE


  • Browns:

    • None



Fantasy Starts:


  • 49ers:

    • WR Ricky Pearsall — Top 25 WR


  • Browns:

    • Browns Defense— Top 8 Defense

    • TE Harold Fannn Jr — Top 10 TE




Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:


  • 49ers:

    • WR Jauan Jennings — Top 35 WR

    • QB Brock Purdy — Top 16 QB


  • Browns:

    • RB Quinshon Judkins — Top 22 RB



Fantasy Sits / Fades:


  • 49ers:

    • None


  • Browns:

    • None




Sneaky / Streamer Plays:


  • 49ers:

    • None

  • Browns:

    • WR Harold Fannin Jr — ~  43% Rostered




Betting Plays:

  • 49ers -5

  • CMC anytime TD

  • George Kittle 5+ catches

  • CMC 40+ rec yards

  • CMC 5+ catches

  • Jauan Jennings 3+ catches

  • Harold Fannin Jr 4+ catches

  • Quinshon Judkins UNDER 75 rushing yards

  • Shedeur Sanders 1+ INT

  • Longshot TD: Harold Fannin Jr

  • Longshot TD: CMC 2+

Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts — Sunday, Week 13, 1:00 PM ET


Quick Take:

The Texans are underdogs at +3.5, but this is a big spot. Houston is riding momentum and could get C.J. Stroud back from concussion protocol, which would swing things drastically. The Colts present a tough matchup at home, but if Stroud returns, Houston’s offense could be dangerous. Still, this feels like a close game where the Colts have the edge — but the Texans are very live for an upset.


Pick: Texans +4.5 (or Texans pull off a tight upset win).



Injury Report:


  • Texans:

    • QB C.J. Stroud — Concussion. Status: in protocol. 

    • CB Ajani Carter — Hamstring. 

    • WR Braxton Berrios — Quad. 


  • Colts:

    • QB Daniel Jones — Leg (report said he “didn’t appear to be 100%” during their last game) 

    • WR Ashton Dulin — Hamstring. 




Fantasy Start & Forget It:


  • Texans:

    • WR Nico Collins — Top 15 WR


  • Colts:

    • RB Jonathan Taylor — Top 5 RB




Fantasy Starts:


  • Texans:

    • RB Woody Marks — Top 18 RB

    • WR Jayden Higgins — Top 20 WR

    • K Ka'Imi Fairbairn — Top 8 Kicker

    • Texans Defense — Top 8 Defense


  • Colts:

    • TE Tyler Warren — Top 8 TE




Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:


  • Texans:

    • TE Dalton Schultz — Top 12 TE


  • Colts:

    • K Michael Badgley — Top 12 K

    • Colts Defense — Top 12 Defense

    • WR Alec Pierce — Top 30 WR



Fantasy Sits / Fades:


  • Texans:

    • QB CJ Stroud — 38% Started


  • Colts:

    • QB Daniel Jones — 62% Started

    • WR Michael Pittman Jr — 80% Started





Sneaky / Streamer Plays:


  • Texans:

    • WR Jayden Higgins — 21% Rostered

    • TE Dalton Schultz — 13% Rostered

    • K Ka'Imi Fairbairn — 23% Rostered


  • Colts:

    • WR Alec Pierce — 30% Rostered




Betting Plays:

  • Ka'Imi Fairbairn 2+ Field Goals

  • Texans +4

  • Jayden Higgins 4+ catches

  • CJ Stroud 1+ INT

  • Daniel Jones 1+ turnover

  • Nico Collins 5+ catches

  • Longshot TD: Jayden Higgins

  • Longshot TD: Dalton Schultz

Miami Dolphins @ New Orleans Saints — Sunday, Week 13, 1:00 PM ET


Quick Take:

The Dolphins come into this one as –4.5 favorites, riding their offensive rhythm against a Saints team that’s thin at the moment. New Orleans may be without Alvin Kamara, which could cripple their run game. Miami has the edge in both game script and playmakers, and they should be able to control things and cover.


Pick: Dolphins win and cover the 5-point spread.



Injury Report:


  • Dolphins:

    • G James Daniels — Questionable — Ankle injury. 

    • WR Dee Eskridge — Questionable — Concussion. 

    • TE Darren Waller — Out — Hip injury. 

    • RB Jaylen Wright — Out — Knee injury. 


  • Saints:

    • RB Alvin Kamara — MCL sprain. 

    • G Trevor Penning — Out — Toe injury. 

    • S Jordan Howden — Questionable — Oblique. 




Fantasy Start & Forget It:


  • Dolphins:

    • RB Devon Achane — Top WR

    • WR Jaylen Waddle — Top 15 WR


  • Saints:

    • WR Chris Olave — Top 15 WR



Fantasy Starts:


  • Dolphins:

    • QB Tua Tagovailoa — Top 10 QB


  • Saints:

    • TE Juwan Johnson — Top 10 TE

    • RB Devin Neal — Top 16 RB (IF KAMARA OUT)




Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:


  • Dolphins:

    • WR Malik Washington — Top 35 WR


  • Saints:

    • QB Tyler Shough — Top 16 QB



Fantasy Sits / Fades:


  • Dolphins:

    • None


  • Saints:

    • RB Alvin Kamara — ~ 70% Started (IF ACTIVE)




Sneaky / Streamer Plays:


  • Dolphins:

    • None


  • Saints:

    • QB Tyler Shough — ~ 0% Rostered

    • RB Devin Neal — ~ 1% Rostered

    • TE Juwan Johnson — ~ 19% Rostered




Betting Plays:

  • Chris Olave 5+ catches

  • Dolphins -2.5

  • Devon Achane 30+ rec yards

  • Jaylen Waddle 50+ yards

  • Juwan Johnson 4+ catches

  • Longshot TD: Juwan Johnson

  • Longshot TD: Devon Achane 2+

  • Longshot TD: Ollie Gordon

Atlanta Falcons @ New York Jets — Sunday, Week 13, 1:00 PM ET



Quick Take:

The Falcons are slight –1.5 favorites, taking on a Jets team that has struggled to put things together. Atlanta’s passing game could exploit New York’s secondary, while the Jets will try to get their ground game going. Expect a close, gritty contest — but the Falcons may have just enough to pull this one out.


Pick: Falcons win a tight one, covering -1.5 spread.



Injury Report:


  • Falcons:

    • CB Mike Hughes — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Hand 

    • WR Drake London — Game status: Doubtful / Week‑to‑week — Injury: PCL sprain 


  • Jets:

    • WR Garrett Wilson — Game status: OUT — Injury: PCL Sprain 




Fantasy Start & Forget It:


  • Falcons:

    • RB Bijan Robinson — Top 10 RB


  • Jets:

    • RB Breece Hall — Top 14 RB




Fantasy Starts:


  • Falcons:

    • WR Darnell Mooney — Top 25 WR

    • TE Kyle Pitts — Top 10 TE


  • Jets:

    • WR John Metchie — Top 30 WR




Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:


  • Falcons:

    • QB Kirk Cousins — Top 16 QB

    • RB Tyler Allgeier — Top 34 RB

    • Falcons — Top 10 Defense


  • Jets:

    • WR AD Mitchell — Top 40 WR



Fantasy Sits / Fades:


  • Falcons:

    • None


  • Jets:

    • TE Mason Taylor — ~  30% Started




Sneaky / Streamer Plays:


  • Falcons:

    • WR Darnell Mooney — ~  40% Rostered

    • QB Kirk Cousins — ~  1% Rostered


  • Jets:

    • WR John Metchie — ~  3% Rostered




Betting Plays:

  • Darnell Mooney longest rec OVER 19 yards

  • John Metchie longest catch OVER 18 yards

  • Breece Hall 3+ catches

  • Kirk Cousins 1+ INT

  • UNDER 45 points

  • John Metchie 4+ catches

  • Bijan Robinson longest catch / rush OVER 18 yards

  • Longshot TD: Darnell Mooney

  • Longshot TD: John Metchie

Arizona Cardinals @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Sunday, Week 13, 1:00 PM ET


Quick Take:

The Cardinals come into this game as +6.5 underdogs, and even though they’ve struggled, this could be a bounce‑back spot. Tampa Bay is dealing with uncertainty at quarterback after Baker Mayfield’s shoulder injury, which opens the door for Arizona to make things interesting. If the Cards can get Brissett going and make some big plays, they have a shot to pull off. theupset.


Pick: Cardinals +6.5 and a possible Cardinals upset ML



Injury Report:


  • Cardinals:

    • QB Kyler Murray — Injury: Foot — On injured reserve. 


  • Buccaneers:

    • QB Baker Mayfield — Injury: Left shoulder (sprained AC joint) — Questionable. 

    • RB Bucky Irving — Injury: Foot / Shoulder — Expected to return Week 13. 





Fantasy Start & Forget It:


  • Cardinals:

    • TE Trey McBride — Top 3 TE


  • Buccaneers:

    • None




Fantasy Starts:


  • Cardinals:

    • RB Trey Benson — Top 16 RB

    • WR Marvin Harrison Jr — Top 25 WR

    • QB Jacoby Brissett — Top 6 QB


  • Buccaneers:

    • K Chase McLaughlin — Top 16 K




Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:


  • Cardinals:

    • WR Michael Wilson — Top 30 WR

      • Has been a baller the past two weeks but Marvin Harrison Jr will likely make his return to the field this week, limiting Wilson's ceiling


  • Buccaneers:

    • WR Chris Godwin — Top 40 WR

    • WR Emeka Egbuka — Top 30 WR



Fantasy Sits / Fades:


  • Cardinals:

    • WR Bam Knight — ~  29% Started


  • Buccaneers:

    • TE Cade Otton — ~  24% Started

    • RB Sean Tucker — ~  65% Started

    • RB Bucky Irving — ~  82% Started

    • RB Rachaad White — ~  41% Started




Sneaky / Streamer Plays:


  • Cardinals:

    • QB Jacoby Brissett — ~  1% Rostered


  • Buccaneers:

    • None



Betting Plays:

  • Cardinals +4 IF NO BAKER

  • Trey Benson 45+ yards rushing

  • Michael Wilson 4+ catches

  • Trey McBride 6+ catches

  • Chase McLaughlin 2+ Field Goals

  • Bucky Irving UNDER 70 rushing yards

  • Longshot TD: Trey Benson

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee Titans — Sunday, Week 13, 1:00 PM ET


Quick Take:

The Jaguars are 7-point favorites in Tennessee, and they look well-positioned to take control. Jacksonville has been playing with momentum, while the Titans remain banged up and struggling to find consistency. Expect the Jaguars to lean on their playmakers in the passing game and control tempo. This could be a clean road win that continues Jacksonville’s push.


Pick: Jaguars win and cover the 7-point spread.



Injury Report:


  • Jaguars:

    • WR Travis Hunter — Out — Season-ending knee surgery. 

    • WR Brian Thomas Jr. — Questionable — Ankle. 

    • CB Jourdan Lewis — Questionable — Shoulder / Neck. 

    • TE Hunter Long — Questionable — Hip / Knee. 


  • Titans:

    • CB Xavier Woods — Out. 

    • CB Kendell Brooks — Out. 

    • WR Elic Ayomanor — Out. 




Fantasy Start & Forget It:


  • Jaguars:

    • None


  • Titans:

    • None




Fantasy Starts:


  • Jaguars:

    • RB Travis Etienne Jr — Top 15 RB

    • WR Jakobi Myers — Top 25 WR

      • Emerging as a reliable low-end WR2 in fantasy with a favorable matchup

    • Jags Defense — Top 8 Defense

    • K Cam Little— Top 10 Kicker

    • TE Brenton Strange— Top 10 TE


  • Titans:

    • WR Chimere Dike — Top 25 WR

      • Explosive player, rookie, growing volume, only realy WR threat in this offense





Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:

  • Jaguars:

    • TE Brenton Strange — Top 12 TE

    • WR Parker Washington — Top 30 WR


  • Titans:

    • None



Fantasy Sits / Fades:


  • Jaguars:

    • RB Bhayshul Tuten — ~ 38% Started


  • Titans:

    • RB Tyjae Spears — ~ 31% Started




Sneaky / Streamer Plays:


  • Jaguars:

    • WR Parker Washington — ~ 22% Rostered

    • TE Brenton Strange — ~ 6% Rostered

    • Jags Defense — ~ 8% Rostered

    • K Cam Little — ~ 14% Rostered


  • Titans:

    • WR Chimere Dike — ~ 5% Rostered




Betting Plays:

  • Jags -5

  • Titans 4+ sacks

  • Cam Ward 1+ turnover

  • Chimere Dike 3+ catches

  • Travis Etienne Jr anytime TD

  • Longshot TD: Chimere Dike

  • Longshot TD: Brenton Strange

Seattle Seahawks @ Minnesota Vikings — Sunday, Week 13, 4:05 PM ET


Quick Take:

The Seahawks come in as –7.5 favorites, and they should be able to lean on their balanced offense and ground game to control the game. Minnesota may be without J.J. McCarthy if he doesn’t clear concussion protocol, which raises questions about their passing attack. Seattle has the edge in both stability and playmakers — they’re in a good spot to cover.


Pick: Seahawks win and cover the 8-point spread.



Injury Report:


  • Seahawks:

    • RB Kenneth Walker III — Questionable — Injury: Glute. 


  • Vikings:

    • QB J.J. McCarthy — In concussion protocol. 





Fantasy Start & Forget It:


  • Seahawks:

    • WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba— Top 5 WR


  • Vikings:

    • None




Fantasy Starts:


  • Seahawks:

    • RB Kenneth Walker III — Top 20 RB

    • QB Sam Darnold — Top 8 QB

    • K Jason Myers — Top 8 K

    • Seahawks Defense — Top 7 Defense


  • Vikings:

    • None





Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:


  • Seahawks:

    • RB Zach Charbonnet — Top 28 RB

    • WR Rashid Shaheed — Top 35 WR

    • TE AJ Barner — Top 14 TE


  • Vikings:

    • K Will Reichard — Top 10 K

    • Vikings Defense — Top 14 Defense



Fantasy Sits / Fades:


  • Seahawks:

    • WR Cooper Kupp — ~ 35% Started


  • Vikings:

    • RB Aaron Jones Sr — ~ 63% Started

    • WR Justin Jefferson — ~ 99% Started

    • WR Jordan Addison — ~ 61% Started

    • TE TJ Hockenson — ~ 36% Started




Sneaky / Streamer Plays:


  • Seahawks:

    • QB Sam Darnold — ~ 3% Rostered

    • RB Zach Charbonnet — ~ 41% Rostered

    • TE AJ Barner— ~ 13% Rostered

    • K Jason Myers — ~ 44% Rostered


  • Vikings:

    • K Will Reichard— ~ 51% Rostered




Betting Plays:

  • Seahawks -7

  • Aaron Jones UNDER 50 rushing yards

  • JJ McCarthy 1+ INT

  • Seahawks 3+ sacks

  • Kenneth Walker III 65+ rush & rec yards

  • JSN 7+ catches

  • Longshot TD: AJ Barner

  • Longshot TD: Zach Charbonnet

Los Angeles Chargers @ Las Vegas Raiders — Sunday, Week 13, 4:25 PM ET


Quick Take:

The Chargers come in as –8.5 favorites, looking to lean on Justin Herbert and their playmakers against a Raiders team that’s still trying to find its rhythm. With the Chargers’ offense expected to move efficiently, Las Vegas could struggle to keep pace — especially if their offense can’t produce on big plays. This feels like a game where LAC dominates.


Pick: Chargers win and cover the 9-point spread.



Injury Report:


  • Chargers:

    • LB Khalil Mack — Injury: Elbow — Out. 

    • C Corey Linsley — Injury: Concussion — Out. 

    • T Trey Pipkins — Injury: Knee — Out. 

    • S Alohi Gilman — Injury: Hamstring — Questionable. 

    • LB Drue Tranquill — Injury: Illness — Questionable. 


  • Raiders:

    • No confirmed, up-to-date injury report found yet




Fantasy Start & Forget It:


  • Chargers:

    • QB Justin herbert — Top 6 QB

    • RB Omarion Hampton — Top 12 RB

    • WR Ladd McConkey — Top 12 WR


  • Raiders:

    • TE Brock Bowers — Top 6 TE




Fantasy Starts:


  • Chargers:

    • WR Keenan Allen — Top 25 WR

    • TE Oronde Gadsden — Top 10 TE

    • K Cam Dicker — Top 8 Kicker

    • Chargers Defense — Top 8 Defense


  • Raiders:

    • RB Ashton Jeanty — Top 16 RB





Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:


  • Chargers:

    • WR Quentin Johnston — Top 35 WR WITH TD UPSIDE


  • Raiders:

    • K Daniel Carlson — Top 12 Kicker



Fantasy Sits / Fades:


  • Chargers:

    • RB Kimani Vidal — 46% Started


  • Raiders:

    • WR Tre Tucker — 44% Started





Sneaky / Streamer Plays:


  • Chargers:

    • Chargers Defense — 23% Rostered


  • Raiders:

    • K Daniel Carlson — 2% Rostered




Betting Plays:

  • Chargers -6

  • Daniel Carlson 2+ Field Goals

  • Ashton Jeanty 3+ catches

  • Ladd McConkey 5+ catches

  • Brock Bowers 5+ catches

  • Justin Herbert 2+ pass TDs

  • Longshot TD: Keenan Allen

  • Longshot TD: Quentin Johnston

Buffalo Bills @ Pittsburgh Steelers — Sunday, Week 13, 4:25 PM ET


Quick Take:

The Bills are –3.5 favorites in a spot where they can lean into their offensive firepower. The Steelers are expected to get Aaron Rodgers back from his wrist injury, but Buffalo’s momentum and passing offense should give them the edge. Expect a game where the Bills can control the pace and make enough plays to get the win.


Pick: Bills win and likely cover the 4-point spread.



Injury Report:


  • Bills:

    • TE Dalton Kincaid — Game status: Week-to-week — Injury: Hamstring. 

    • LB Terrel Bernard — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Elbow hyperextension. 


  • Steelers:

    • QB Aaron Rodgers — Game status: Questionable — Injury: Left wrist (broken). 





Fantasy Start & Forget It:


  • Bills:

    • QB Josh Allen — Top 8 QB

    • RB James Cook — Top 12 RB


  • Steelers:

    • K Chris Boswell — Top 6 Kicker




Fantasy Starts:


  • Bills:

    • WR Khalil Shakir — Top 20 WR

    • TE Dalton Kincaid — Top 10 TE (IF ACTIVE)


  • Steelers:

    • QB Aaron Rodgers — Top 10 QB

    • RB Kenneth Gainwell — Top 20 RB

    • RB Jaylen Warren — Top 25 RB




Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:


  • Bills:

    • None


  • Steelers:

    • WR DK Metcalf — Top 30 WR

    • TE Pat Freiermuth — Top 14 TE



Fantasy Sits / Fades:


  • Bills:

    • None


  • Steelers:

    • Steelers Defense — ~ 29% Started





Sneaky / Streamer Plays:


  • Bills:

    • None


  • Steelers:

    • RB Kenneth Gainwell — ~ 37% Rostered

    • TE Pat Freirmuth — ~ 5% Rostered




Betting Plays:

  • Bills -2.5

  • 45+ points

  • Kenneth Gainwell 35+ rushing yards

  • Jaylen Warren 3+ catches

  • Josh Allen anytime TD

  • Longshot TD: Pat Freiermuth

  • Longshot TD: Kenneth Gainwell

Denver Broncos @ Washington Commanders — Sunday, Week 13, 8:20 PM ET


Quick Take:

The Broncos are –6.5 favorites heading into this primetime matchup. Denver’s on a strong run and looks to lean into its balanced offense, while Washington remains in flux — especially at quarterback. With Jayden Daniels still recovering and not guaranteed to play, the Commanders’ ceiling is limited. Expect Denver to lean on their momentum and control the game to cover.


Pick: Broncos win and cover the 7-point spread.



Injury Report:


  • Broncos:

    • No major confirmed injury headlines this week


  • Commanders:

    • QB Jayden Daniels — Game status: Unlikely to play — Injury: Dislocated left elbow. 

    • S Will Harris — Game status: Possible return — Injury: Fractured right fibula. 





Fantasy Start & Forget It:


  • Broncos:

    • RB RJ Harvey — Top 10 RB

      • Perfect matchup with all the snaps. We saw Gibbs torch the Commanders, why can't Harvey?

    • Broncos Defense — Top 8 Defense


  • Commanders:

    • None




Fantasy Starts:


  • Broncos:

    • QB Bo Nix — Top 10 QB

    • WR Troy Franklin — Top 20 WR


  • Commanders:

    • None




Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:


  • Broncos:

    • WR Courtland Sutton — Top 25 WR


  • Commanders:

    • TE Zach Ertz — Top 14 TE



Fantasy Sits / Fades:


  • Broncos:

    • None


  • Commanders:

    • RB Jacorey Croskey-Merrit — ~ 42% Started

    • WR Terry McLaurin — ~ N/A% Started

    • WR Deebo Samuel — ~ 68% Started




Sneaky / Streamer Plays:


  • Broncos:

    • WR Troy Franklin — ~ 39% Rostered


  • Commanders:

    • None



Betting Plays:

  • Broncos -6.5

  • RJ Harvey 2+ catches

  • RJ Harvey anytime TD

  • Troy Franklin 4+ catches

  • Courtland Sutton longest catch OVER 18 yards

  • Chris Rodriguez Jr 8+ rush attempts

  • Longshot TD: Troy Franklin

  • Longshot TD: RJ Harvey 2+

New England Patriots @ New York Giants — Monday, Week 13, 8:15 PM ET


Quick Take:

The Patriots are –7.5 favorites in this primetime matchup. New England has built momentum and should lean on its efficient offense to take control, especially against a Giants team that’s under pressure and dealing with instability at QB. The extra day of rest works in the Patriots’ favor, and they’re in a good spot to cover.


Pick: Patriots win BUT Giants likely cover the 7.5 spread.



Injury Report:


  • Patriots:

    • LT Will Campbell — Injury: Knee (MCL sprain), expected to miss Monday’s game. 

    • DT Milton Williams — Placed on IR. 


  • Giants:

    • QB Jaxson Dart — Injury: Concussion; status uncertain. 





Fantasy Start & Forget It:


  • Patriots:

    • QB Drake Maye — Top 8 QB

    • RB Treveyon Henderson — Top 10 RB


  • Giants:

    • QB Jaxson Dart — Top 8 QB (IF ACTIVE)




Fantasy Starts:


  • Patriots:

    • WR Stefon Diggs — Top 20 WR

    • WR Kayshon Boutte — Top 25 WR WITH TD UPSIDE

    • TE Hunter Henry — Top 10 TE WITH TD UPSIDE

    • Pats Defense — Top 12 Defense

    • K Andy Borregales — Top 8 Kicker


  • Giants:

    • QB Wan'Dale Robinson — Top 25 WR

    • QB Jameis Winston — Top 12 QB (IF DART OUT)

    • TE Theo Johnson — Top 8 TE (IF DART ACTIVE)




Fantasy Flex / Risky Starts / Flex Appeal:


  • Patriots:

    • None


  • Giants:

    • TE Theo Johnson — Top 14 TE (IF NO DART)

    • K Younghoe Koo — Top 14 Kicker



Fantasy Sits / Fades:


  • Patriots:

    • RB Rhamondre Stevenson — ~ 52% Started


  • Giants:

    • RB Tyrone Tracy — ~ 61% Started

    • RB Devin Singletery — ~ 36% Started

    • WR Darius Slayton — ~ 27% Started

    • WR Isaiah Hodgins — ~ 23% Started





Sneaky / Streamer Plays:


  • Patriots:

    • WR Kayshon Boutte — ~44 % Rostered

    • TE Hunter Henry — ~ 33% Rostered


  • Giants:

    • TE Theo Johnson — ~61 % Rostered




Betting Plays:

  • Giants +6

  • 42+ points

  • Jameis Winston 1+ INT (IF DART OUT)

  • Theo Johnson 4+ catches

  • Wan'Dale Robinson 6+ catches

  • Treveyon Henderson 15+ rec yards

  • Kayshon Boutte longest catch OVER 18 yards

  • Longshot TD: Theo Johnson

  • Longshot TD: Hunter Henry

  • Longshot TD: Treveyon Henderson 2+

  • Longshot TD: Kayshon Boutte

STARTS OF THE WEEK:

  1. Broncos RB RJ Harvey

  2. Lions WR Jameson Williams

  3. Broncos WR Courtland Sutton

  4. Ravens TE Mark Andrews

  5. Cardinals QB Jacoby Brissett

  6. Broncos WR Troy Franklin

  7. Bengals WR Andre Iosivas

  8. Steelers RB Kenneth Gainwell

  9. Saints RB Devin Neal

  10. Giants TE Theo Johnson


SITS OF THE WEEK:

  1. Vikings WR Justin Jefferson

  2. Lions RB David Montgomery

  3. Bears RB D'Andre Swift

  4. Panthers RB Rico Dowdle

  5. Buccaneers WR Emeka Egbuka

  6. Buccaneers RB Sean Tucker

  7. Buccaneers QB Baker Mayfield

  8. Chargers TE Oronde Gadsden

  9. Vikings WR Jordan Addison

  10. Vikings RB Aaron Jones Sr


Jake's 5 LOCKS Parlay of the Week:

  1. Jacoby Brissett pass yards OVER 243.5 yards -117

  2. Drake Maye pass yards OVER 246.5 yards -113

  3. Max Brosmer 1+ INT +165

  4. Baker Mayfield 1+ INT +160

  5. Chuba Hubbard rushing yards OVER 14.5 yards -110


VALUE: +4499 -- $10 --> $459.85

 
 
 

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